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The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda

The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We...

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Main Authors: Umino, Bin, Kageura, Kyo, Toda, Shinichi
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: 2011
Subjects:
Library Science. Information Science
Online Access:http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf
http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/
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spelling my.uitm.ir.36152019-06-20T07:36:14Z http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/ The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda Umino, Bin Kageura, Kyo Toda, Shinichi Library Science. Information Science The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion. 2011 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf Umino, Bin and Kageura, Kyo and Toda, Shinichi (2011) The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda. In: Proceedings of the Asia-Pacific Conference On Library & Information Education & Practice 2011 (A-LIEP2011), 22-24 June 2011, Putrajaya, Malaysia.
institution Universiti Teknologi Mara
building Tun Abdul Razak Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Mara
content_source UiTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://ir.uitm.edu.my/
language English
topic Library Science. Information Science
spellingShingle Library Science. Information Science
Umino, Bin
Kageura, Kyo
Toda, Shinichi
The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
description The objective of this paper is to investigate the interrelationship between the two main book distribution channels in Japan, bookstores and libraries. For this purpose, we compare and analyse the circulation of books via bookstores and via libraries in the 60 years since the end of World War II. We also focus on domestic economic trends as an external factor influencing book circulation. Three time-series variables were analysed: total annual net paid circulation via bookstores (from 1953 to 2009), total annual circulation via public libraries (from 1958 to 2008), and the real economic growth rate, calculated on the basis of real GDP, for each calendar year (from 1956 to 2009). The circulation of books via libraries has increased almost monotonically since the 1960s, while that via bookstores has decreased since reaching a peak in 1996. Simple correlation coefficients and partial correlation coefficients were calculated to demonstrate synchronous relationships between each pair of the three time-series variables. Tests of non-correlations for each correlation coefficient were also conducted. Finally, the Granger causality test was conducted to demonstrate anterior-posterior relationships among variables. From the results of the correlation analyses and the Granger causality test, we can conclude with reasonable certainty that book circulation has been affected by economic trends, whereas the correlation between the circulation of books via bookstores and the circulation of books via libraries is in fact spurious. To eliminate the population effect, per-capita circulation was also calculated. The per-capita circulation data also supported the above conclusion.
format Conference or Workshop Item
author Umino, Bin
Kageura, Kyo
Toda, Shinichi
author_facet Umino, Bin
Kageura, Kyo
Toda, Shinichi
author_sort Umino, Bin
title The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_short The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_full The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_fullStr The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_full_unstemmed The correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in Japan: A time series analysis / Bin Umino, Kyo Kageura and Shinichi Toda
title_sort correlation between library circulation and bookstore circulation in japan: a time series analysis / bin umino, kyo kageura and shinichi toda
publishDate 2011
url http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/1/K_BIN%20UMINO%20A-LIEP%20IM%2011.pdf
http://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/3615/
_version_ 1685648200838414336
score 13.211869

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