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Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara

This study is a scientific analysis to forecast the inflow of male and female prisoner to Alor Setar prison, Kedah from year 2000 to 2005. The objective of the study is to identify a suitable regression model as well as to study the expected admission of prisoner within the duration. The model used...

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Main Author: Ahmad Fauzi, Awang
Format: Thesis
Language:English
English
Published: 2000
Subjects:
HV Social Pathology. Social and Public Welfare
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/1/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/2/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/
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spelling my.uum.etd.1322022-06-07T02:44:37Z https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/ Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara Ahmad Fauzi, Awang HV Social Pathology. Social and Public Welfare This study is a scientific analysis to forecast the inflow of male and female prisoner to Alor Setar prison, Kedah from year 2000 to 2005. The objective of the study is to identify a suitable regression model as well as to study the expected admission of prisoner within the duration. The model used is linear regression. Data collected were all male prisoners (Malaysian male prisoner, foreign male prisoner), all female prisoner (Malaysian female prisoner and foreign female prisoner) from 1990 to 1999. A descriptive analysis was also carried out on the 21,611 prisoners covering age, income, educational status, recidivism, duration of imprisonment and conviction under Dangerous Drug Act. Result of the study indicated that linear regression is more suitable to be used compared to three moving average model. Analysis showed that data on Malaysian male and female prisoners admission is more suitable to be used to develop two model of linear regression forecasting model. This is because of the smaller forecasting error compared to data on other categories of prisoner. Linear regression also give smaller forecasting error compared to three moving average model. The also showed an increasing pattern of male prisoners by years, which is similar to studies done in other state. Admission of female prisoners was expected to be reduced till year 2005. This is not compatible with other state done such as in United States. However, the result is limited by data collected from 1990 to 1999. This result indicated that overcrowding problem in male prison will go on and a reduction of female prisoners is expected. A descriptive analysis showed that most of the prisoners are in age group 21-39 years old. Those with no formal education or schooling until standard six only, is the highest group of prisoners. Most of the prisoners are convicted for the first time and detained for six month or less. Majority of them had an income of RM 499.00 or less. Overcrowding of male prisoners in Alor Setar prison is also contributed by prisoners convicted under Dangerous Drug Act. 2000 Thesis NonPeerReviewed text en https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/1/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf text en https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/2/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf Ahmad Fauzi, Awang (2000) Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara. Masters thesis, Universiti Utara Malaysia.
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
building UUM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Utara Malaysia
content_source UUM Electronic Theses
url_provider http://etd.uum.edu.my/
language English
English
topic HV Social Pathology. Social and Public Welfare
spellingShingle HV Social Pathology. Social and Public Welfare
Ahmad Fauzi, Awang
Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
description This study is a scientific analysis to forecast the inflow of male and female prisoner to Alor Setar prison, Kedah from year 2000 to 2005. The objective of the study is to identify a suitable regression model as well as to study the expected admission of prisoner within the duration. The model used is linear regression. Data collected were all male prisoners (Malaysian male prisoner, foreign male prisoner), all female prisoner (Malaysian female prisoner and foreign female prisoner) from 1990 to 1999. A descriptive analysis was also carried out on the 21,611 prisoners covering age, income, educational status, recidivism, duration of imprisonment and conviction under Dangerous Drug Act. Result of the study indicated that linear regression is more suitable to be used compared to three moving average model. Analysis showed that data on Malaysian male and female prisoners admission is more suitable to be used to develop two model of linear regression forecasting model. This is because of the smaller forecasting error compared to data on other categories of prisoner. Linear regression also give smaller forecasting error compared to three moving average model. The also showed an increasing pattern of male prisoners by years, which is similar to studies done in other state. Admission of female prisoners was expected to be reduced till year 2005. This is not compatible with other state done such as in United States. However, the result is limited by data collected from 1990 to 1999. This result indicated that overcrowding problem in male prison will go on and a reduction of female prisoners is expected. A descriptive analysis showed that most of the prisoners are in age group 21-39 years old. Those with no formal education or schooling until standard six only, is the highest group of prisoners. Most of the prisoners are convicted for the first time and detained for six month or less. Majority of them had an income of RM 499.00 or less. Overcrowding of male prisoners in Alor Setar prison is also contributed by prisoners convicted under Dangerous Drug Act.
format Thesis
author Ahmad Fauzi, Awang
author_facet Ahmad Fauzi, Awang
author_sort Ahmad Fauzi, Awang
title Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
title_short Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
title_full Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
title_fullStr Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
title_full_unstemmed Peramalan Kemasukan Banduan Ke Penjara
title_sort peramalan kemasukan banduan ke penjara
publishDate 2000
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/1/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/2/AHMAD_FAUDZI_BIN_AWANG_-_Peramalan_kemasukan_banduan_ke_penjara.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/132/
_version_ 1735388975560916992
score 13.211869

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