Cover Image

Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti

The objective of this study is to build a stochastic Box-Jenkins model for electricity demand in Perlis. In the process of building stochastic Box-Jenkins model, first series of the differentiation was used for every sector in this research to obtain the set of stationary series data. To accomplish...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Syariza, Abdul Rahman
Format: Thesis
Language:English
English
Published: 2003
Subjects:
QA273-280 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
Online Access:http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/1/SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf
http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/2/1.SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf
http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
id my.uum.etd.1154
record_format eprints
spelling my.uum.etd.11542013-07-24T12:10:40Z http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/ Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti Syariza, Abdul Rahman QA273-280 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics The objective of this study is to build a stochastic Box-Jenkins model for electricity demand in Perlis. In the process of building stochastic Box-Jenkins model, first series of the differentiation was used for every sector in this research to obtain the set of stationary series data. To accomplish the second objective, the factors affecting the electricity demand was measured for domestic, commercial, industry and street lighting sector in Perlis. The factors that have been measured in this research are the monthly temperature of surrounding, total of monthly rain, festive seasons, increasement in the number of resident the development of state economic and the development in the surrounding area. The study gave the value of short term forecasting for electricity demand in Perlis. Only domestic sector signified a seasonal pattern and occupied Seasonal ARIMA Box-Jenkins model while commercial, industry and street lighting sector were significant and occupying ARIMA Box-Jenkins model. After analyzing the factors affecting the electricity demand, we bund that stationary and randomness affected these factors consistently and significantly. This study discovered that domestic sector is affected by the increasement in the number of residents and the number of houses, the festive seasons, the surrounding temperature and the number of raining days. For commercial sector, the demand is affected by the development of state economic and festive seasons. Industry sector is effected by the development of state economic and also by CIMA. TNB’s main consumer that deputize cement industry in Perlis state. Meanwhile Street lighting sector is affected by the development of infrastructure and the festive seasons. 2003 Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/1/SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf application/pdf en http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/2/1.SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf Syariza, Abdul Rahman (2003) Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti. Masters thesis, Universiti Utara Malaysia.
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
building UUM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Utara Malaysia
content_source UUM Electronic Theses
url_provider http://etd.uum.edu.my/
language English
English
topic QA273-280 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
spellingShingle QA273-280 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
Syariza, Abdul Rahman
Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
description The objective of this study is to build a stochastic Box-Jenkins model for electricity demand in Perlis. In the process of building stochastic Box-Jenkins model, first series of the differentiation was used for every sector in this research to obtain the set of stationary series data. To accomplish the second objective, the factors affecting the electricity demand was measured for domestic, commercial, industry and street lighting sector in Perlis. The factors that have been measured in this research are the monthly temperature of surrounding, total of monthly rain, festive seasons, increasement in the number of resident the development of state economic and the development in the surrounding area. The study gave the value of short term forecasting for electricity demand in Perlis. Only domestic sector signified a seasonal pattern and occupied Seasonal ARIMA Box-Jenkins model while commercial, industry and street lighting sector were significant and occupying ARIMA Box-Jenkins model. After analyzing the factors affecting the electricity demand, we bund that stationary and randomness affected these factors consistently and significantly. This study discovered that domestic sector is affected by the increasement in the number of residents and the number of houses, the festive seasons, the surrounding temperature and the number of raining days. For commercial sector, the demand is affected by the development of state economic and festive seasons. Industry sector is effected by the development of state economic and also by CIMA. TNB’s main consumer that deputize cement industry in Perlis state. Meanwhile Street lighting sector is affected by the development of infrastructure and the festive seasons.
format Thesis
author Syariza, Abdul Rahman
author_facet Syariza, Abdul Rahman
author_sort Syariza, Abdul Rahman
title Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
title_short Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
title_full Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
title_fullStr Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
title_full_unstemmed Pembentukan Model Stokastik Box-Jenkins dan Aplikasi dalam Industri Utiliti
title_sort pembentukan model stokastik box-jenkins dan aplikasi dalam industri utiliti
publishDate 2003
url http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/1/SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf
http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/2/1.SYARIZA_BT._ABDUL_RAHMAN.pdf
http://etd.uum.edu.my/1154/
_version_ 1644276369217028096
score 13.211869

Similar Items