Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model
Due to the tremendous growth of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia since it was first introduced on 12th of January 1993 through the fund named Tabung Ittikal managed by Arab-Malaysian Securities, vast studies have been done to evaluate the performance of Islamic unit trust offered in Malaysia's ca...
Saved in:
Main Authors: | , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Conference or Workshop Item |
Published: |
American Institute of Physics Inc.
2015
|
Online Access: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84984540687&doi=10.1063%2f1.4932500&partnerID=40&md5=17b36a52be98ef5cbcf1bb858f96038b http://eprints.utp.edu.my/31651/ |
Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
id |
my.utp.eprints.31651 |
---|---|
record_format |
eprints |
spelling |
my.utp.eprints.316512022-03-26T03:24:53Z Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model Ismail, N. Ismail, M.T. Karim, S.A.A. Hamzah, F.M. Due to the tremendous growth of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia since it was first introduced on 12th of January 1993 through the fund named Tabung Ittikal managed by Arab-Malaysian Securities, vast studies have been done to evaluate the performance of Islamic unit trust offered in Malaysia's capital market. Most of the studies found that one of the factors that affect the performance of the fund is the volatility level. Higher volatility produces better performance of the fund. Thus, we believe that a strategy must be set up by the fund managers in order for the fund to perform better. By using a series of net asset value (NAV) data of three different types of fund namely CIMB-IDEGF, CIMB-IBGF and CIMB-ISF from a fund management company named CIMB Principal Asset Management Berhad over a six years period from 1st January 2008 until 31st December 2013, we model and forecast the volatility of these Islamic unit trusts. The study found that the best fitting models for CIMB-IDEGF, CIMB-IBGF and CIMB-ISF are ARCH(4), GARCH(3,3) and GARCH(3,1) respectively. Meanwhile, the fund that is expected to be the least volatile is CIMB-IDEGF and the fund that is expected to be the most volatile is CIMB-IBGF. © 2015 AIP Publishing LLC. American Institute of Physics Inc. 2015 Conference or Workshop Item NonPeerReviewed https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84984540687&doi=10.1063%2f1.4932500&partnerID=40&md5=17b36a52be98ef5cbcf1bb858f96038b Ismail, N. and Ismail, M.T. and Karim, S.A.A. and Hamzah, F.M. (2015) Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model. In: UNSPECIFIED. http://eprints.utp.edu.my/31651/ |
institution |
Universiti Teknologi Petronas |
building |
UTP Resource Centre |
collection |
Institutional Repository |
continent |
Asia |
country |
Malaysia |
content_provider |
Universiti Teknologi Petronas |
content_source |
UTP Institutional Repository |
url_provider |
http://eprints.utp.edu.my/ |
description |
Due to the tremendous growth of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia since it was first introduced on 12th of January 1993 through the fund named Tabung Ittikal managed by Arab-Malaysian Securities, vast studies have been done to evaluate the performance of Islamic unit trust offered in Malaysia's capital market. Most of the studies found that one of the factors that affect the performance of the fund is the volatility level. Higher volatility produces better performance of the fund. Thus, we believe that a strategy must be set up by the fund managers in order for the fund to perform better. By using a series of net asset value (NAV) data of three different types of fund namely CIMB-IDEGF, CIMB-IBGF and CIMB-ISF from a fund management company named CIMB Principal Asset Management Berhad over a six years period from 1st January 2008 until 31st December 2013, we model and forecast the volatility of these Islamic unit trusts. The study found that the best fitting models for CIMB-IDEGF, CIMB-IBGF and CIMB-ISF are ARCH(4), GARCH(3,3) and GARCH(3,1) respectively. Meanwhile, the fund that is expected to be the least volatile is CIMB-IDEGF and the fund that is expected to be the most volatile is CIMB-IBGF. © 2015 AIP Publishing LLC. |
format |
Conference or Workshop Item |
author |
Ismail, N. Ismail, M.T. Karim, S.A.A. Hamzah, F.M. |
spellingShingle |
Ismail, N. Ismail, M.T. Karim, S.A.A. Hamzah, F.M. Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
author_facet |
Ismail, N. Ismail, M.T. Karim, S.A.A. Hamzah, F.M. |
author_sort |
Ismail, N. |
title |
Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
title_short |
Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
title_full |
Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
title_fullStr |
Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modeling and forecasting the volatility of Islamic unit trust in Malaysia using GARCH model |
title_sort |
modeling and forecasting the volatility of islamic unit trust in malaysia using garch model |
publisher |
American Institute of Physics Inc. |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84984540687&doi=10.1063%2f1.4932500&partnerID=40&md5=17b36a52be98ef5cbcf1bb858f96038b http://eprints.utp.edu.my/31651/ |
_version_ |
1738657277356802048 |
score |
13.211869 |