Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia

The ongoing Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) outbreak is now declared as the pandemic by World Health Organization (WHO). This disease began in Wuhan, China in late 2019 and is widely spread now all over the world. Progressively, Malaysia has been the leading country in Southeast Asia for this outbre...

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Main Authors: Mohamed, Nur Syarafina, Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani, Aleng, Nor Afiqah, Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah, Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana
Format: Article
Published: Institute of Advanced Scientific Research, Inc. 2020
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Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/92281/
https://www.jardcs.org/abstract.php?id=5149
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spelling my.utm.922812021-09-28T07:43:44Z http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/92281/ Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia Mohamed, Nur Syarafina Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani Aleng, Nor Afiqah Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana H Social Sciences (General) The ongoing Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) outbreak is now declared as the pandemic by World Health Organization (WHO). This disease began in Wuhan, China in late 2019 and is widely spread now all over the world. Progressively, Malaysia has been the leading country in Southeast Asia for this outbreak with cases more than 2000 as on 26th March 2020. This article highlights the analysis of the outbreak pattern which follows the exponential growth regression line. Data is collected daily for 66 days starting from the 1st case defined on 25th January 2020. Regression line is used because it can describe the relationship between predictors and the outcome within the datasets that can be used for prediction purposes. Fitting the real data to the graph, an equation which follows the exponential growth model is obtained. The calculation of the relative error between the exact and the approximate data shows that the pattern follows the exponential growth model as it is compared with the quadratic regression line. This analysis can be particularly beneficial for the health authorities in preparing immediate and effective strategies to flatten the curve. Malaysia government is currently working hard in flattening the curve by implementing Restricted Movement Order (RMO). Institute of Advanced Scientific Research, Inc. 2020 Article PeerReviewed Mohamed, Nur Syarafina and Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani and Aleng, Nor Afiqah and Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah and Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana (2020) Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia. Journal of Advanced Research in Dynamical and Control Systems, 12 (6). pp. 1775-1782. ISSN 1943-023X https://www.jardcs.org/abstract.php?id=5149
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
building UTM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
content_source UTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://eprints.utm.my/
topic H Social Sciences (General)
spellingShingle H Social Sciences (General)
Mohamed, Nur Syarafina
Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani
Aleng, Nor Afiqah
Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah
Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana
Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
description The ongoing Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) outbreak is now declared as the pandemic by World Health Organization (WHO). This disease began in Wuhan, China in late 2019 and is widely spread now all over the world. Progressively, Malaysia has been the leading country in Southeast Asia for this outbreak with cases more than 2000 as on 26th March 2020. This article highlights the analysis of the outbreak pattern which follows the exponential growth regression line. Data is collected daily for 66 days starting from the 1st case defined on 25th January 2020. Regression line is used because it can describe the relationship between predictors and the outcome within the datasets that can be used for prediction purposes. Fitting the real data to the graph, an equation which follows the exponential growth model is obtained. The calculation of the relative error between the exact and the approximate data shows that the pattern follows the exponential growth model as it is compared with the quadratic regression line. This analysis can be particularly beneficial for the health authorities in preparing immediate and effective strategies to flatten the curve. Malaysia government is currently working hard in flattening the curve by implementing Restricted Movement Order (RMO).
format Article
author Mohamed, Nur Syarafina
Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani
Aleng, Nor Afiqah
Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah
Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana
author_facet Mohamed, Nur Syarafina
Ahmmad, Siti Nor Zawani
Aleng, Nor Afiqah
Saipan Saipol, Hafizah Farhah
Shaharuddin, Shazlyn Milleana
author_sort Mohamed, Nur Syarafina
title Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
title_short Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
title_full Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
title_fullStr Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Pattern analysis of corona virus disease (COVID-19) - outbreak in Malaysia
title_sort pattern analysis of corona virus disease (covid-19) - outbreak in malaysia
publisher Institute of Advanced Scientific Research, Inc.
publishDate 2020
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/92281/
https://www.jardcs.org/abstract.php?id=5149
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score 13.211869