Staff View: Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China

Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China

China is planning to expand its coal power generation to meet its energy demand and support the economic development. The current level of water use for thermal power generation is 8% of total water use, China is a water-stressed country which is facing many new challenges including climate change a...

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Main Authors:	Wang, Xiao Jun, Elmahdi, Amgad, Zhang, Jian Yun, Shahid, Shamsuddin, Liao, Chuan Hua, Zhang, Xu, Liu, Yong Gang
Format:	Article
Published:	Springer Netherlands 2019
Subjects:	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Online Access:	http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/89498/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0124-0
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id	my.utm.89498
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spelling	my.utm.894982021-02-22T06:08:01Z http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/89498/ Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China Wang, Xiao Jun Elmahdi, Amgad Zhang, Jian Yun Shahid, Shamsuddin Liao, Chuan Hua Zhang, Xu Liu, Yong Gang TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) China is planning to expand its coal power generation to meet its energy demand and support the economic development. The current level of water use for thermal power generation is 8% of total water use, China is a water-stressed country which is facing many new challenges including climate change and population growth. China’s future coal power industry will add further pressures on already stressed water resources. This raised the key question on how the limited water resources can be managed to meet the demand of planned coal power expansion. A great level of understanding on the present status of water use and forecasting future demand in coal power plant is very important to answer this question. However, knowledge gap, data availability and accessibility are the major challenge in this regard. This paper attempts to improve the knowledge of the water demand in the coal power generation plant in China by using a simple water use model. Furthermore, a method is proposed to forecast future water demand in coal power plant. The proposed method is applied for forecasting water demand in Shaanxi coal power bases in Northern China under four scenarios. The results showed that the future water demand for Shaanxi coal power base will increase by 102–161% compared to current use under different scenarios in order to increase the production capacity by 206%. Adopting the optimum level of current status of water use, it is possible to limit the increase in water demand by 102% or 47.119 million-m3. It is expected that the finding of the study would help decision-making processes in water resources management in Chinese coal power generation. Springer Netherlands 2019-08-15 Article PeerReviewed Wang, Xiao Jun and Elmahdi, Amgad and Zhang, Jian Yun and Shahid, Shamsuddin and Liao, Chuan Hua and Zhang, Xu and Liu, Yong Gang (2019) Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 21 (4). pp. 1675-1693. ISSN 1387-585X http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0124-0 DOI:10.1007/s10668-018-0124-0
institution	Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
building	UTM Library
collection	Institutional Repository
continent	Asia
country	Malaysia
content_provider	Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
content_source	UTM Institutional Repository
url_provider	http://eprints.utm.my/
topic	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle	TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Wang, Xiao Jun Elmahdi, Amgad Zhang, Jian Yun Shahid, Shamsuddin Liao, Chuan Hua Zhang, Xu Liu, Yong Gang Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
description	China is planning to expand its coal power generation to meet its energy demand and support the economic development. The current level of water use for thermal power generation is 8% of total water use, China is a water-stressed country which is facing many new challenges including climate change and population growth. China’s future coal power industry will add further pressures on already stressed water resources. This raised the key question on how the limited water resources can be managed to meet the demand of planned coal power expansion. A great level of understanding on the present status of water use and forecasting future demand in coal power plant is very important to answer this question. However, knowledge gap, data availability and accessibility are the major challenge in this regard. This paper attempts to improve the knowledge of the water demand in the coal power generation plant in China by using a simple water use model. Furthermore, a method is proposed to forecast future water demand in coal power plant. The proposed method is applied for forecasting water demand in Shaanxi coal power bases in Northern China under four scenarios. The results showed that the future water demand for Shaanxi coal power base will increase by 102–161% compared to current use under different scenarios in order to increase the production capacity by 206%. Adopting the optimum level of current status of water use, it is possible to limit the increase in water demand by 102% or 47.119 million-m3. It is expected that the finding of the study would help decision-making processes in water resources management in Chinese coal power generation.
format	Article
author	Wang, Xiao Jun Elmahdi, Amgad Zhang, Jian Yun Shahid, Shamsuddin Liao, Chuan Hua Zhang, Xu Liu, Yong Gang
author_facet	Wang, Xiao Jun Elmahdi, Amgad Zhang, Jian Yun Shahid, Shamsuddin Liao, Chuan Hua Zhang, Xu Liu, Yong Gang
author_sort	Wang, Xiao Jun
title	Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
title_short	Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
title_full	Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
title_fullStr	Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
title_full_unstemmed	Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China
title_sort	water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in china
publisher	Springer Netherlands
publishDate	2019
url	http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/89498/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10668-018-0124-0
_version_	1692991790925217792
score	13.211869

Water use and demand forecasting model for coal-fired power generation plant in China

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