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Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting

Water demand is the total amount of water required for ecosystem functions and processes and out-of-stream uses. Water demand is important for domestic use, residential, irrigation, and industrial activities. Hence, water demand forecasting has become an essential component in effective water resour...

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Main Author: Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan
Format: Thesis
Published: 2012
Subjects:
QA Mathematics
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/41785/
http://dms.library.utm.my:8080/vital/access/manager/Repository/vital:78902?queryType=vitalDismax&query=Application+of+ANFIS%2C+ARIMA+and+hybrid+models+in+water&public=true
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spelling my.utm.417852020-07-02T06:05:01Z http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/41785/ Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan QA Mathematics Water demand is the total amount of water required for ecosystem functions and processes and out-of-stream uses. Water demand is important for domestic use, residential, irrigation, and industrial activities. Hence, water demand forecasting has become an essential component in effective water resources planning and management. In this study, water demand data is obtained from Syarikat Air Johor (SAJ) ranging from 1995 until 2011. Data from two areas of Johor that are Muar and Batu Pahat were chosen for analysis. For this study, ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models are three methods used for this water demand forecasting. The effectiveness of these models has been investigated based on performances of MAE and MSE. It can be concluded that the hybrid model is an effective method to forecast water demands for Muar and Batu Pahat. The results of the hybrid model show that hybrid model can be applied successfully to establish time series forecasting models, which could provide accurate forecasting and modelling time series 2012 Thesis NonPeerReviewed Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan (2012) Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting. Masters thesis, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Science. http://dms.library.utm.my:8080/vital/access/manager/Repository/vital:78902?queryType=vitalDismax&query=Application+of+ANFIS%2C+ARIMA+and+hybrid+models+in+water&public=true
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
building UTM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
content_source UTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://eprints.utm.my/
topic QA Mathematics
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan
Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
description Water demand is the total amount of water required for ecosystem functions and processes and out-of-stream uses. Water demand is important for domestic use, residential, irrigation, and industrial activities. Hence, water demand forecasting has become an essential component in effective water resources planning and management. In this study, water demand data is obtained from Syarikat Air Johor (SAJ) ranging from 1995 until 2011. Data from two areas of Johor that are Muar and Batu Pahat were chosen for analysis. For this study, ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models are three methods used for this water demand forecasting. The effectiveness of these models has been investigated based on performances of MAE and MSE. It can be concluded that the hybrid model is an effective method to forecast water demands for Muar and Batu Pahat. The results of the hybrid model show that hybrid model can be applied successfully to establish time series forecasting models, which could provide accurate forecasting and modelling time series
format Thesis
author Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan
author_facet Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan
author_sort Ibrahim, Muhammad Safwan
title Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
title_short Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
title_full Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
title_fullStr Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Application of ANFIS, ARIMA and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
title_sort application of anfis, arima and hybrid models in water demand forecasting
publishDate 2012
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/41785/
http://dms.library.utm.my:8080/vital/access/manager/Repository/vital:78902?queryType=vitalDismax&query=Application+of+ANFIS%2C+ARIMA+and+hybrid+models+in+water&public=true
_version_ 1672610439390822400
score 13.211869

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