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Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005

This paper assesses recent changes in extremes of annual rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia based on daily rainfall data for ten rain-gauged stations over the period 1971-2005. Eight indices that represent the extreme events are defined and analyzed. Maps of trends for these indices, which are extreme...

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Main Authors: Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah, Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila, Mohd. Deni, Sayang, Jemain, Abdul Aziz
Format: Article
Published: Springer-Verlag 2010
Subjects:
QA Mathematics
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/26638/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0141-x
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spelling my.utm.266382018-11-30T07:06:42Z http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/26638/ Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005 Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila Mohd. Deni, Sayang Jemain, Abdul Aziz QA Mathematics This paper assesses recent changes in extremes of annual rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia based on daily rainfall data for ten rain-gauged stations over the period 1971-2005. Eight indices that represent the extreme events are defined and analyzed. Maps of trends for these indices, which are extreme dry spell (XDS), extreme rain sum (XRS), extreme wet day intensities at 95% and 99% percentiles (I95 and I99), proportion of extreme wet day to the total wet day (R95 and R99), and frequency of extreme wet day at 95% and 99% percentiles (N95 and N99), were analyzed based on annual data and seasons. When the indices are evaluated annually, the Mann-Kendall and linear regression trend tests showed increasing trends in the extreme intensity indices (I95 and I99) at two stations. A significant decrease in N99, associated with the frequency of extremely wet days, was observed at 60% of the stations. The change points for these indices are found to occur in the period of the 1980s. There is no significant trend detected for XDS, XRS, and proportion of extreme rainfall over total rainfall amount indices during the period considered in this study. Descriptive analysis of indices during the monsoon period showed that the annual spatial pattern for the peninsula is very much influenced by the northeast monsoon where the highest mean values for majority of the indices occur during this time period. Springer-Verlag 2010-01 Article PeerReviewed Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah and Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila and Mohd. Deni, Sayang and Jemain, Abdul Aziz (2010) Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 99 (3). 303 -314. ISSN 0177-798X http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0141-x DOI:10.1007/s00704-009-0141-x
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
building UTM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
content_source UTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://eprints.utm.my/
topic QA Mathematics
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah
Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila
Mohd. Deni, Sayang
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
description This paper assesses recent changes in extremes of annual rainfall in Peninsular Malaysia based on daily rainfall data for ten rain-gauged stations over the period 1971-2005. Eight indices that represent the extreme events are defined and analyzed. Maps of trends for these indices, which are extreme dry spell (XDS), extreme rain sum (XRS), extreme wet day intensities at 95% and 99% percentiles (I95 and I99), proportion of extreme wet day to the total wet day (R95 and R99), and frequency of extreme wet day at 95% and 99% percentiles (N95 and N99), were analyzed based on annual data and seasons. When the indices are evaluated annually, the Mann-Kendall and linear regression trend tests showed increasing trends in the extreme intensity indices (I95 and I99) at two stations. A significant decrease in N99, associated with the frequency of extremely wet days, was observed at 60% of the stations. The change points for these indices are found to occur in the period of the 1980s. There is no significant trend detected for XDS, XRS, and proportion of extreme rainfall over total rainfall amount indices during the period considered in this study. Descriptive analysis of indices during the monsoon period showed that the annual spatial pattern for the peninsula is very much influenced by the northeast monsoon where the highest mean values for majority of the indices occur during this time period.
format Article
author Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah
Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila
Mohd. Deni, Sayang
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
author_facet Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah
Syed Jamaludin, Shariffah Suhaila
Mohd. Deni, Sayang
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
author_sort Wan Zin, Wan Zawiah
title Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
title_short Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
title_full Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
title_fullStr Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
title_full_unstemmed Recent changes in extreme rainfall events in Peninsular Malaysia : 1971-2005
title_sort recent changes in extreme rainfall events in peninsular malaysia : 1971-2005
publisher Springer-Verlag
publishDate 2010
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/26638/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00704-009-0141-x
_version_ 1643647816353972224
score 13.211869

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