Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction

Patient length of stay (LOS) in ICU and hospital’s general care unit is one of the important indicators that is widely measured and benchmarked to improve the quality and efficiency of patient care. There are many studies both on statistical testing of the LOS outcome to determine factors associated...

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Main Authors: Mahmud, Farhanahani, Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran, Cheong, Ping Pau, Ramli, Mohd. Faizal, Jaffar, Norfazlina, Gaaffar, Intan Fariza
Format: Book Section
Published: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2022
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Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/102209/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8903-1_32
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spelling my.utm.1022092023-08-09T08:29:47Z http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/102209/ Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction Mahmud, Farhanahani Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran Cheong, Ping Pau Ramli, Mohd. Faizal Jaffar, Norfazlina Gaaffar, Intan Fariza Q Science (General) TP Chemical technology Patient length of stay (LOS) in ICU and hospital’s general care unit is one of the important indicators that is widely measured and benchmarked to improve the quality and efficiency of patient care. There are many studies both on statistical testing of the LOS outcome to determine factors associated with it and the outcome predictive modeling using machine learning algorithms. However, there are still fewer studies of the LOS outcome predictive modeling using local datasets. Therefore, an initial study of assessing supervised machine learning approaches for regression and classification tasks on predicting the LOS outcome has been conducted using an aggregated Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) public dataset to obtain an overview of the prediction framework and to compare the predictive performance of the machine learning models. This is as a preparation for developing an outcome calculator of the LOS outcome and other operative outcomes in patients based on local data. The LOS was predicted using 10 classification and 15 regression models assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 scores for the classification task and root mean squared error (RMSE) for the regression task. The results showed that the Extreme Gradient Boosting classifier and Extreme Gradient Boosting regressor presented the highest validation and good testing performances for the LOS prediction. Although model overfitting trend was detected in both models’ learning curves, in this respect, the study may serve as a useful starting point for an extended work associating with predictive modeling on the LOS and other operational outcomes. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2022 Book Section PeerReviewed Mahmud, Farhanahani and Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran and Cheong, Ping Pau and Ramli, Mohd. Faizal and Jaffar, Norfazlina and Gaaffar, Intan Fariza (2022) Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction. In: Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on the Applications of Science and Mathematics 2021 Sciemathic 2021. Springer Proceedings in Physics, 273 (NA). Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH, Singapore, pp. 369-378. ISBN 978-981168902-4 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8903-1_32 DOI:10.1007/978-981-16-8903-1_32
institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
building UTM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
content_source UTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://eprints.utm.my/
topic Q Science (General)
TP Chemical technology
spellingShingle Q Science (General)
TP Chemical technology
Mahmud, Farhanahani
Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran
Cheong, Ping Pau
Ramli, Mohd. Faizal
Jaffar, Norfazlina
Gaaffar, Intan Fariza
Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
description Patient length of stay (LOS) in ICU and hospital’s general care unit is one of the important indicators that is widely measured and benchmarked to improve the quality and efficiency of patient care. There are many studies both on statistical testing of the LOS outcome to determine factors associated with it and the outcome predictive modeling using machine learning algorithms. However, there are still fewer studies of the LOS outcome predictive modeling using local datasets. Therefore, an initial study of assessing supervised machine learning approaches for regression and classification tasks on predicting the LOS outcome has been conducted using an aggregated Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care-III (MIMIC-III) public dataset to obtain an overview of the prediction framework and to compare the predictive performance of the machine learning models. This is as a preparation for developing an outcome calculator of the LOS outcome and other operative outcomes in patients based on local data. The LOS was predicted using 10 classification and 15 regression models assessed using accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 scores for the classification task and root mean squared error (RMSE) for the regression task. The results showed that the Extreme Gradient Boosting classifier and Extreme Gradient Boosting regressor presented the highest validation and good testing performances for the LOS prediction. Although model overfitting trend was detected in both models’ learning curves, in this respect, the study may serve as a useful starting point for an extended work associating with predictive modeling on the LOS and other operational outcomes.
format Book Section
author Mahmud, Farhanahani
Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran
Cheong, Ping Pau
Ramli, Mohd. Faizal
Jaffar, Norfazlina
Gaaffar, Intan Fariza
author_facet Mahmud, Farhanahani
Md. Khudzari, Ahmad Zahran
Cheong, Ping Pau
Ramli, Mohd. Faizal
Jaffar, Norfazlina
Gaaffar, Intan Fariza
author_sort Mahmud, Farhanahani
title Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
title_short Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
title_full Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
title_fullStr Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
title_full_unstemmed Pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
title_sort pre-assessment of machine learning approaches for patient length of stay prediction
publisher Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
publishDate 2022
url http://eprints.utm.my/id/eprint/102209/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-8903-1_32
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score 13.211869