Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design

Good index selection is key to minimising basis risk in weather index insurance design. However, interannual, seasonal, and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities pose challenges in identifying robust proxies for crop losses. In this study, we systematically investigated 574 hydroclimatic indice...

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Main Authors: Zulkafli, Zed Diyana, Muharam, Farrah Melissa, Raffar, Nurfarhana, Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa, Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril, Mohamed Rehan, Balqis, Khairudin, Nurulhuda
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Published: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2021
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96525/
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/9/5207
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spelling my.upm.eprints.965252023-01-11T08:26:22Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96525/ Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design Zulkafli, Zed Diyana Muharam, Farrah Melissa Raffar, Nurfarhana Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril Mohamed Rehan, Balqis Khairudin, Nurulhuda Good index selection is key to minimising basis risk in weather index insurance design. However, interannual, seasonal, and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities pose challenges in identifying robust proxies for crop losses. In this study, we systematically investigated 574 hydroclimatic indices for their relationships with yield in Malaysia’s irrigated double planting system, using the Muda rice granary as a case study. The responses of seasonal rice yields to seasonal and monthly averages and to extreme rainfall, temperature, and streamflow statistics from 16 years’ observations were examined by using correlation analysis and linear regression. We found that the minimum temperature during the crop flowering to the maturity phase governed yield in the drier off-season (season 1, March to July, Pearson correlation, r = +0.87; coefficient of determination, R2 = 74%). In contrast, the average streamflow during the crop maturity phase regulated yield in the main planting season (season 2, September to January, r = +0.82, R2 = 67%). During the respective periods, these indices were at their lowest in the seasons. Based on these findings, we recommend temperature- and water-supply-based indices as the foundations for developing insurance contracts for the rice system in northern Peninsular Malaysia. Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2021 Article PeerReviewed Zulkafli, Zed Diyana and Muharam, Farrah Melissa and Raffar, Nurfarhana and Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa and Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril and Mohamed Rehan, Balqis and Khairudin, Nurulhuda (2021) Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design. Sustainability, 13 (9). pp. 1-23. ISSN 2071-1050 https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/9/5207 10.3390/su13095207
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
description Good index selection is key to minimising basis risk in weather index insurance design. However, interannual, seasonal, and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities pose challenges in identifying robust proxies for crop losses. In this study, we systematically investigated 574 hydroclimatic indices for their relationships with yield in Malaysia’s irrigated double planting system, using the Muda rice granary as a case study. The responses of seasonal rice yields to seasonal and monthly averages and to extreme rainfall, temperature, and streamflow statistics from 16 years’ observations were examined by using correlation analysis and linear regression. We found that the minimum temperature during the crop flowering to the maturity phase governed yield in the drier off-season (season 1, March to July, Pearson correlation, r = +0.87; coefficient of determination, R2 = 74%). In contrast, the average streamflow during the crop maturity phase regulated yield in the main planting season (season 2, September to January, r = +0.82, R2 = 67%). During the respective periods, these indices were at their lowest in the seasons. Based on these findings, we recommend temperature- and water-supply-based indices as the foundations for developing insurance contracts for the rice system in northern Peninsular Malaysia.
format Article
author Zulkafli, Zed Diyana
Muharam, Farrah Melissa
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa
Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Khairudin, Nurulhuda
spellingShingle Zulkafli, Zed Diyana
Muharam, Farrah Melissa
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa
Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Khairudin, Nurulhuda
Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
author_facet Zulkafli, Zed Diyana
Muharam, Farrah Melissa
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Jajarmizadeh, Amirparsa
Abdi, Mukhtar Jibril
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Khairudin, Nurulhuda
author_sort Zulkafli, Zed Diyana
title Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
title_short Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
title_full Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
title_fullStr Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
title_full_unstemmed Contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of Northern Peninsular Malaysia for weather index insurance design
title_sort contrasting influences of seasonal and intra-seasonal hydroclimatic variabilities on the irrigated rice paddies of northern peninsular malaysia for weather index insurance design
publisher Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute
publishDate 2021
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/96525/
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/9/5207
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score 13.211869