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Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs

Palm oil is a valuable crop. This relates to the high economic return from sales of the commodity, where Indonesia is the major producer in the world and the island of Sumatra is the most important region for palm oil production in the country. The island can be considered as a model for other oil p...

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Main Author: Paterson, R. Russell M.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI 2019
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/1/77880.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/7/1/24
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spelling my.upm.eprints.778802020-05-04T17:36:30Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/ Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs Paterson, R. Russell M. Palm oil is a valuable crop. This relates to the high economic return from sales of the commodity, where Indonesia is the major producer in the world and the island of Sumatra is the most important region for palm oil production in the country. The island can be considered as a model for other oil palm growing regions in SE Asia. The area in Sumatra with a suitable climate for growing oil palm will decrease in size due to projected climate change as demonstrated specifically herein. The more unsuitable climate will lead to concomitant increases in basal stem rot (BSR) by Ganoderma boninense, as previously predicted, which is of major concern to sustainability in SE Asia. A novel approach is described herein, whereby (a) a determination of suitable climate for growing oil palm in Sumatra and (b) deductions to determine future BSR levels on the island were undertaken. The unsuitability of the climate for oil palm is predicted to increase dramatically after 2050 when BSR is predicted to increase to very high levels on most parts of the island. This is likely to make palm oil production unsustainable at some stage between 2050 and 2100. North Sumatra may be more sustainable than the other areas considered in Sumatra. These effects of projected climate change require amelioration before the high levels of BSR and the unsuitable climate for oil palm are realized. MDPI 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/1/77880.pdf Paterson, R. Russell M. (2019) Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs. Microorganisms, 7 (1). art. no. 24. pp. 1-8. ISSN 2076-2607 https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/7/1/24 10.3390/microorganisms7010024
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
language English
description Palm oil is a valuable crop. This relates to the high economic return from sales of the commodity, where Indonesia is the major producer in the world and the island of Sumatra is the most important region for palm oil production in the country. The island can be considered as a model for other oil palm growing regions in SE Asia. The area in Sumatra with a suitable climate for growing oil palm will decrease in size due to projected climate change as demonstrated specifically herein. The more unsuitable climate will lead to concomitant increases in basal stem rot (BSR) by Ganoderma boninense, as previously predicted, which is of major concern to sustainability in SE Asia. A novel approach is described herein, whereby (a) a determination of suitable climate for growing oil palm in Sumatra and (b) deductions to determine future BSR levels on the island were undertaken. The unsuitability of the climate for oil palm is predicted to increase dramatically after 2050 when BSR is predicted to increase to very high levels on most parts of the island. This is likely to make palm oil production unsustainable at some stage between 2050 and 2100. North Sumatra may be more sustainable than the other areas considered in Sumatra. These effects of projected climate change require amelioration before the high levels of BSR and the unsuitable climate for oil palm are realized.
format Article
author Paterson, R. Russell M.
spellingShingle Paterson, R. Russell M.
Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
author_facet Paterson, R. Russell M.
author_sort Paterson, R. Russell M.
title Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
title_short Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
title_full Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
title_fullStr Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
title_full_unstemmed Ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in Sumatra if projected climate change occurs
title_sort ganoderma boninense disease of oil palm to significantly reduce production after 2050 in sumatra if projected climate change occurs
publisher MDPI
publishDate 2019
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/1/77880.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/77880/
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-2607/7/1/24
_version_ 1665896045898366976
score 13.211869

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