Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting

A univariate ARIMA model methodology was utilised to forecast the short-run monthly price of dry cocoa beans. The appropriate model for forecasting was found to be (2, 1, 2) (1, 1, 1) 12. This model indicates that the original cocoa price series is non stationary and contains some elements of multip...

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Main Authors: Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah, A. Ghaffar, Roslan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Malaysian Agricultural Economics Association 1976
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/1/a39%20-%20univariate%20approch%20towards%20cocoa%20price%20forecasting.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/
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spelling my.upm.eprints.339112015-04-15T00:28:09Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/ Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah A. Ghaffar, Roslan A univariate ARIMA model methodology was utilised to forecast the short-run monthly price of dry cocoa beans. The appropriate model for forecasting was found to be (2, 1, 2) (1, 1, 1) 12. This model indicates that the original cocoa price series is non stationary and contains some elements of multiplicity; hence inheriting both autoregressive and moving average processes. Malaysian Agricultural Economics Association 1976 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/1/a39%20-%20univariate%20approch%20towards%20cocoa%20price%20forecasting.pdf Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah and A. Ghaffar, Roslan (1976) Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting. Malaysian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 3. pp. 1-11. ISSN 0127-7685
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
language English
description A univariate ARIMA model methodology was utilised to forecast the short-run monthly price of dry cocoa beans. The appropriate model for forecasting was found to be (2, 1, 2) (1, 1, 1) 12. This model indicates that the original cocoa price series is non stationary and contains some elements of multiplicity; hence inheriting both autoregressive and moving average processes.
format Article
author Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah
A. Ghaffar, Roslan
spellingShingle Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah
A. Ghaffar, Roslan
Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
author_facet Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah
A. Ghaffar, Roslan
author_sort Mohd. Arshad, Fatimah
title Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
title_short Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
title_full Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
title_fullStr Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
title_sort univariate approach towards cocoa price forecasting
publisher Malaysian Agricultural Economics Association
publishDate 1976
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/1/a39%20-%20univariate%20approch%20towards%20cocoa%20price%20forecasting.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/33911/
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score 13.251813