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Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production

The incidence and intensity of extreme weather will be more frequent, which will likely challenge human and natural systems more than normal change. Agricultural sector falls under the primary damage sector due to climate change and is considered one of the most vulnerable sector to climate change....

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Main Author:	Borkotoky, Parthajyoti
Format:	Thesis
Language:	English
Published:	2012
Subjects:	Rubber - Climatic factors - Malaysia Rubber industry and trade - Malaysia Climatic changes - Economic aspects - Malaysia
Online Access:	http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/1/FP%202012%2038R%20pdf.pdf http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/
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spelling	my.upm.eprints.322802024-08-28T07:31:53Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/ Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production Borkotoky, Parthajyoti The incidence and intensity of extreme weather will be more frequent, which will likely challenge human and natural systems more than normal change. Agricultural sector falls under the primary damage sector due to climate change and is considered one of the most vulnerable sector to climate change. Climate has been changing in the conventional rubber growing regions of the country and the current temperature is at the higher end of the optimal temperature range for rubber crop. Thus further increases will adversely affected growth and productivity of natural rubber. The main objective of this study is to estimate the economic impact of climate change on natural rubber in Peninsular Malaysia and to capture the marginal impact of weather conditions on the viability of production systems along with the future climate change impact by predicting the economic impact due to the expected climate change. The present study uses and extends the Ricardian Model to estimate the climate change impacts on Malaysian rubber production using time series data from 1980 -2010. Impacts were estimated by changes in net revenue of rubber for estates and smallholders and combination of both with change in climate. The future impact of change in temperature that is increase in temperature was found to have nonlinear effects on natural rubber production. The results of this study also highlight the importance of precipitation for natural rubber. Marginal impacts of the precipitation and temperature indicate direct and negative relationship between rubber net revenue. The results were in line to what was expected. Furthermore marginal increase of temperature and precipitating will results in a loss of about RM 208 million in total. Based on future climate change scenarios from Atmosphere/Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCMs) the rubber industry will bear a loss between RM 239/Ha to RM 805/Ha if no action is taken and in broader scale it losses between RM 246 million to RM 829 million in total. 2012-02 Thesis NonPeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/1/FP%202012%2038R%20pdf.pdf Borkotoky, Parthajyoti (2012) Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production. Masters thesis, Universiti Putra Malaysia. Rubber - Climatic factors - Malaysia Rubber industry and trade - Malaysia Climatic changes - Economic aspects - Malaysia
institution	Universiti Putra Malaysia
building	UPM Library
collection	Institutional Repository
continent	Asia
country	Malaysia
content_provider	Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source	UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider	http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
language	English
topic	Rubber - Climatic factors - Malaysia Rubber industry and trade - Malaysia Climatic changes - Economic aspects - Malaysia
spellingShingle	Rubber - Climatic factors - Malaysia Rubber industry and trade - Malaysia Climatic changes - Economic aspects - Malaysia Borkotoky, Parthajyoti Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
description	The incidence and intensity of extreme weather will be more frequent, which will likely challenge human and natural systems more than normal change. Agricultural sector falls under the primary damage sector due to climate change and is considered one of the most vulnerable sector to climate change. Climate has been changing in the conventional rubber growing regions of the country and the current temperature is at the higher end of the optimal temperature range for rubber crop. Thus further increases will adversely affected growth and productivity of natural rubber. The main objective of this study is to estimate the economic impact of climate change on natural rubber in Peninsular Malaysia and to capture the marginal impact of weather conditions on the viability of production systems along with the future climate change impact by predicting the economic impact due to the expected climate change. The present study uses and extends the Ricardian Model to estimate the climate change impacts on Malaysian rubber production using time series data from 1980 -2010. Impacts were estimated by changes in net revenue of rubber for estates and smallholders and combination of both with change in climate. The future impact of change in temperature that is increase in temperature was found to have nonlinear effects on natural rubber production. The results of this study also highlight the importance of precipitation for natural rubber. Marginal impacts of the precipitation and temperature indicate direct and negative relationship between rubber net revenue. The results were in line to what was expected. Furthermore marginal increase of temperature and precipitating will results in a loss of about RM 208 million in total. Based on future climate change scenarios from Atmosphere/Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCMs) the rubber industry will bear a loss between RM 239/Ha to RM 805/Ha if no action is taken and in broader scale it losses between RM 246 million to RM 829 million in total.
format	Thesis
author	Borkotoky, Parthajyoti
author_facet	Borkotoky, Parthajyoti
author_sort	Borkotoky, Parthajyoti
title	Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
title_short	Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
title_full	Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
title_fullStr	Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
title_full_unstemmed	Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production
title_sort	economic impact of climate change on malaysian rubber production
publishDate	2012
url	http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/1/FP%202012%2038R%20pdf.pdf http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/32280/
_version_	1809142938789216256
score	13.211869

Economic impact of climate change on Malaysian rubber production

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