Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.

One of the important issues in banking affairs is to predict performance of bank branches. While we know some of the factors that influence predicted performance, some unobservable factors called 'error' or 'latent and unobservable variables' in statistics, always exert some effe...

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Main Authors: Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi, Ibrahim, Noor Akma, Jemain, Abdul Aziz, Kilicman, Adem
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: Inderscience Publishers 2011
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/1/Credibility%20models%20with%20dependence%20induced%20by%20common%20effects%20and%20their%20applications%20in%20bank%20branch%20performance%20prediction.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/
http://www.inderscience.com/
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spelling my.upm.eprints.249432015-09-09T06:40:06Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/ Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction. Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi Ibrahim, Noor Akma Jemain, Abdul Aziz Kilicman, Adem One of the important issues in banking affairs is to predict performance of bank branches. While we know some of the factors that influence predicted performance, some unobservable factors called 'error' or 'latent and unobservable variables' in statistics, always exert some effect on prediction. In this paper, for the first time in studies on prediction of performance of bank branches, we use credibility theory to model the effects of unobservable factors induced by 'common effects'. The models are then used to predict expected performance for a number of branches given the history of all observable performances. We give illustrative example to demonstrate the ideas. Inderscience Publishers 2011 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/1/Credibility%20models%20with%20dependence%20induced%20by%20common%20effects%20and%20their%20applications%20in%20bank%20branch%20performance%20prediction.pdf Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi and Ibrahim, Noor Akma and Jemain, Abdul Aziz and Kilicman, Adem (2011) Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction. Journal International Business and Entreprenuership Development, 5 (4). pp. 339-350. ISSN 1549-9324; ESSN:1747-6763 http://www.inderscience.com/ 10.1504/JIBED.2011.042388 English
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
language English
English
description One of the important issues in banking affairs is to predict performance of bank branches. While we know some of the factors that influence predicted performance, some unobservable factors called 'error' or 'latent and unobservable variables' in statistics, always exert some effect on prediction. In this paper, for the first time in studies on prediction of performance of bank branches, we use credibility theory to model the effects of unobservable factors induced by 'common effects'. The models are then used to predict expected performance for a number of branches given the history of all observable performances. We give illustrative example to demonstrate the ideas.
format Article
author Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi
Ibrahim, Noor Akma
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
Kilicman, Adem
spellingShingle Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi
Ibrahim, Noor Akma
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
Kilicman, Adem
Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
author_facet Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi
Ibrahim, Noor Akma
Jemain, Abdul Aziz
Kilicman, Adem
author_sort Ebrahimzadeh, Mahdi
title Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
title_short Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
title_full Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
title_fullStr Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
title_full_unstemmed Credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
title_sort credibility models with dependence induced by common effects and their applications in bank branch performance prediction.
publisher Inderscience Publishers
publishDate 2011
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/1/Credibility%20models%20with%20dependence%20induced%20by%20common%20effects%20and%20their%20applications%20in%20bank%20branch%20performance%20prediction.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/24943/
http://www.inderscience.com/
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