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Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia

Maximizing rice yield is critical for ensuring food security and sustainable agriculture in Malaysia. This research investigates the impact of environmental conditions and management methods on crop yields, focusing on accurate predictions to inform decision-making by farmers. Utilizing machine lear...

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Main Authors: Marong, Muhammad, Husin, Nor Azura, Zolkepli, Maslina, Affendey, Lilly Suriani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Science and Information Organization 2024
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/1/112884.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/
https://thesai.org/Publications/ViewPaper?Volume=15&Issue=3&Code=IJACSA&SerialNo=37
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spelling my.upm.eprints.1128842024-11-06T01:55:40Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/ Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia Marong, Muhammad Husin, Nor Azura Zolkepli, Maslina Affendey, Lilly Suriani Maximizing rice yield is critical for ensuring food security and sustainable agriculture in Malaysia. This research investigates the impact of environmental conditions and management methods on crop yields, focusing on accurate predictions to inform decision-making by farmers. Utilizing machine learning algorithms as decision-support tools, the study analyses commonly used models—Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, and Artificial Neural Networks—alongside key environmental factors such as temperature, rainfall, and historical yield data. A comprehensive dataset for rice yield prediction in Malaysia was constructed, encompassing yield data from 2014 to 2018. To elucidate the influence of climatic factors, long-term rainfall records spanning 1981 to 2018 were incorporated into the analysis. This extensive dataset facilitates the exploration of recent agricultural trends in Malaysia and their relationship to rice yield. The study specifically evaluates the performance of Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Network (NN) models using metrics like Correlation Coefficient, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Results reveal Random Forest as the standout performer with a Correlation Coefficient of 0.954, indicating a robust positive linear relationship between predictions and actual yield data. SVM and NN also exhibit respectable Correlation Coefficients of 0.767 and 0.791, respectively, making them effective tools for rice yield prediction in Malaysia. By integrating diverse environmental and management factors, the proposed methodology enhances prediction accuracy, enabling farmers to optimize practices for better economic outcomes. This approach holds significant potential for contributing to sustainable agriculture, improved food security, and enhanced economic efficiency in Malaysia's rice farming sector. Leveraging machine learning, the research aims to transform rice yield prediction into a proactive decision-making tool, fostering a resilient and productive agrarian ecosystem in Malaysia. © (2024), (Science and Information Organization). All Rights Reserved. Science and Information Organization 2024 Article PeerReviewed text en cc_by_4 http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/1/112884.pdf Marong, Muhammad and Husin, Nor Azura and Zolkepli, Maslina and Affendey, Lilly Suriani (2024) Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 15 (3). ISSN 2158-107X; eISSN: 2156-5570 https://thesai.org/Publications/ViewPaper?Volume=15&Issue=3&Code=IJACSA&SerialNo=37 10.14569/IJACSA.2024.0150337
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
language English
description Maximizing rice yield is critical for ensuring food security and sustainable agriculture in Malaysia. This research investigates the impact of environmental conditions and management methods on crop yields, focusing on accurate predictions to inform decision-making by farmers. Utilizing machine learning algorithms as decision-support tools, the study analyses commonly used models—Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines, Random Forest, and Artificial Neural Networks—alongside key environmental factors such as temperature, rainfall, and historical yield data. A comprehensive dataset for rice yield prediction in Malaysia was constructed, encompassing yield data from 2014 to 2018. To elucidate the influence of climatic factors, long-term rainfall records spanning 1981 to 2018 were incorporated into the analysis. This extensive dataset facilitates the exploration of recent agricultural trends in Malaysia and their relationship to rice yield. The study specifically evaluates the performance of Random Forest, Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Neural Network (NN) models using metrics like Correlation Coefficient, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Results reveal Random Forest as the standout performer with a Correlation Coefficient of 0.954, indicating a robust positive linear relationship between predictions and actual yield data. SVM and NN also exhibit respectable Correlation Coefficients of 0.767 and 0.791, respectively, making them effective tools for rice yield prediction in Malaysia. By integrating diverse environmental and management factors, the proposed methodology enhances prediction accuracy, enabling farmers to optimize practices for better economic outcomes. This approach holds significant potential for contributing to sustainable agriculture, improved food security, and enhanced economic efficiency in Malaysia's rice farming sector. Leveraging machine learning, the research aims to transform rice yield prediction into a proactive decision-making tool, fostering a resilient and productive agrarian ecosystem in Malaysia. © (2024), (Science and Information Organization). All Rights Reserved.
format Article
author Marong, Muhammad
Husin, Nor Azura
Zolkepli, Maslina
Affendey, Lilly Suriani
spellingShingle Marong, Muhammad
Husin, Nor Azura
Zolkepli, Maslina
Affendey, Lilly Suriani
Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
author_facet Marong, Muhammad
Husin, Nor Azura
Zolkepli, Maslina
Affendey, Lilly Suriani
author_sort Marong, Muhammad
title Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
title_short Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
title_full Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
title_fullStr Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in Malaysia
title_sort data-driven rice yield predictions and prescriptive analytics for sustainable agriculture in malaysia
publisher Science and Information Organization
publishDate 2024
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/1/112884.pdf
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/112884/
https://thesai.org/Publications/ViewPaper?Volume=15&Issue=3&Code=IJACSA&SerialNo=37
_version_ 1814936572318973952
score 13.211869

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