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Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia

The scale of the severity of graduate unemployment in a fragile state like Somalia prompts the need for modelling factors related to the unemployment exit duration. Hence, this study aimed to model the determinants of graduate unemployment exit duration. More specifically, it determined the factors...

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Main Authors: Ali, Dahir Abdi, Mohamed, Jama, Midi, Habshah
Format: Article
Published: Adonis and Abbey Publishers 2022
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/102210/
https://journals.co.za/doi/abs/10.31920/2056-5682/2022/v9n2a2
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spelling my.upm.eprints.1022102024-03-18T06:53:42Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/102210/ Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia Ali, Dahir Abdi Mohamed, Jama Midi, Habshah The scale of the severity of graduate unemployment in a fragile state like Somalia prompts the need for modelling factors related to the unemployment exit duration. Hence, this study aimed to model the determinants of graduate unemployment exit duration. More specifically, it determined the factors that have effects on the probability of escaping from the unemployment status. Data collected from students who graduated from SIMAD University in Somalia were analysed, using the duration model. Particularly, this paper utilised product-limit estimator and Cox proportional hazards model to model the prognostic factors influencing the probability of leaving the unemployment status. Gender, CGPA, part-time job experience, type of degree, and age were found to have significant effects on the probability of escaping from unemployment. Male graduates were 1.47 times more likely to increase their chances of employability than their female counterparts while graduates with part-time job experience were 2.81 more likely to escape from unemployment than graduates without part-time job experience. Similarly, graduates with a higher CGPA were 1.54 times more likely to get employment than those with a low CGPA. Adonis and Abbey Publishers 2022-08-01 Article PeerReviewed Ali, Dahir Abdi and Mohamed, Jama and Midi, Habshah (2022) Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia. Journal of Somali Studies : Research on Somalia and the Greater Horn of African Countries, 9 (2). 39 - 57. ISSN 2056-5674; ESSN: 2056-5682 https://journals.co.za/doi/abs/10.31920/2056-5682/2022/v9n2a2 10.31920/2056-5682/2022/v9n2a2
institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
building UPM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Putra Malaysia
content_source UPM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://psasir.upm.edu.my/
description The scale of the severity of graduate unemployment in a fragile state like Somalia prompts the need for modelling factors related to the unemployment exit duration. Hence, this study aimed to model the determinants of graduate unemployment exit duration. More specifically, it determined the factors that have effects on the probability of escaping from the unemployment status. Data collected from students who graduated from SIMAD University in Somalia were analysed, using the duration model. Particularly, this paper utilised product-limit estimator and Cox proportional hazards model to model the prognostic factors influencing the probability of leaving the unemployment status. Gender, CGPA, part-time job experience, type of degree, and age were found to have significant effects on the probability of escaping from unemployment. Male graduates were 1.47 times more likely to increase their chances of employability than their female counterparts while graduates with part-time job experience were 2.81 more likely to escape from unemployment than graduates without part-time job experience. Similarly, graduates with a higher CGPA were 1.54 times more likely to get employment than those with a low CGPA.
format Article
author Ali, Dahir Abdi
Mohamed, Jama
Midi, Habshah
spellingShingle Ali, Dahir Abdi
Mohamed, Jama
Midi, Habshah
Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
author_facet Ali, Dahir Abdi
Mohamed, Jama
Midi, Habshah
author_sort Ali, Dahir Abdi
title Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
title_short Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
title_full Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
title_fullStr Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
title_full_unstemmed Modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of Somalia
title_sort modelling the determinants of unemployment exit duration among graduates in a fragile state: a case of somalia
publisher Adonis and Abbey Publishers
publishDate 2022
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/102210/
https://journals.co.za/doi/abs/10.31920/2056-5682/2022/v9n2a2
_version_ 1794564337597153280
score 13.211869

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