Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models

Forecasting in pandemics and disasters is one of the means that contribute to reducing the damage of this pandemic, and the Corona virus is reportedly the most dangerous pandemic that the entire world is suffering from. As a result, we aim to use a deep learning algorithm to predict confirmed and ne...

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Main Authors: Hasan R.A., Jamaluddin J.E.
Other Authors: 58487876600
Format: Article
Published: Penerbit UTM Press 2024
Subjects:
GRU
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-345562024-10-14T11:20:38Z Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models Hasan R.A. Jamaluddin J.E. 58487876600 37080724200 Covid-19 Deep Learning GRU LSTM Malaysia Prediction Forecasting in pandemics and disasters is one of the means that contribute to reducing the damage of this pandemic, and the Corona virus is reportedly the most dangerous pandemic that the entire world is suffering from. As a result, we aim to use a deep learning algorithm to predict confirmed and new cases of Covid-19 in our study. This paper identifies the most essential deep learning techniques. Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) were shown to forecast verified Covid-19 fatalities in Malaysia, Egypt, and the U.S. using time series data from 1 January 2021 to 14 May 2022. The first section of this study examines a comparison of prediction models, while the second section examines how prediction and performance analysis may be enhanced using mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute error percentage (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) Metrics. On the basis of the regression curves of two two-layer models, the data were split into training sets of 80% and test sets of 20%. The conclusion is that the outputs of the training model and the original data greatly converged. The findings of the study indicated that, for predicting Covid-19 cases, the GRU model in the three nations is superior than the LSTM model. �Copyright Hasan. Final 2024-10-14T03:20:38Z 2024-10-14T03:20:38Z 2023 Article 10.11113/mjfas.v19n3.2992 2-s2.0-85164772690 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85164772690&doi=10.11113%2fmjfas.v19n3.2992&partnerID=40&md5=f27a04f1303d224247761af19f4e6c2c https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/34556 19 3 417 428 All Open Access Gold Open Access Penerbit UTM Press Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
topic Covid-19
Deep Learning
GRU
LSTM
Malaysia
Prediction
spellingShingle Covid-19
Deep Learning
GRU
LSTM
Malaysia
Prediction
Hasan R.A.
Jamaluddin J.E.
Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
description Forecasting in pandemics and disasters is one of the means that contribute to reducing the damage of this pandemic, and the Corona virus is reportedly the most dangerous pandemic that the entire world is suffering from. As a result, we aim to use a deep learning algorithm to predict confirmed and new cases of Covid-19 in our study. This paper identifies the most essential deep learning techniques. Long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU) were shown to forecast verified Covid-19 fatalities in Malaysia, Egypt, and the U.S. using time series data from 1 January 2021 to 14 May 2022. The first section of this study examines a comparison of prediction models, while the second section examines how prediction and performance analysis may be enhanced using mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute error percentage (MAPE), and root mean squared error (RMSE) Metrics. On the basis of the regression curves of two two-layer models, the data were split into training sets of 80% and test sets of 20%. The conclusion is that the outputs of the training model and the original data greatly converged. The findings of the study indicated that, for predicting Covid-19 cases, the GRU model in the three nations is superior than the LSTM model. �Copyright Hasan.
author2 58487876600
author_facet 58487876600
Hasan R.A.
Jamaluddin J.E.
format Article
author Hasan R.A.
Jamaluddin J.E.
author_sort Hasan R.A.
title Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
title_short Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
title_full Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
title_fullStr Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of Covid-19 Cases for Malaysia, Egypt, and USA using Deep Learning Models
title_sort prediction of covid-19 cases for malaysia, egypt, and usa using deep learning models
publisher Penerbit UTM Press
publishDate 2024
_version_ 1814061184955973632
score 13.222552