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Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios

Assessing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover changes on water resources within a catchment is essential because it helps us understand how these dynamic factors affect the quantity, quality, and availability of freshwater. This knowledge is crucial for making informed decisions ab...

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Main Authors: Haider S., Masood M.U., Rashid M., Alshehri F., Pande C.B., Katipo?lu O.M., Costache R.
Other Authors: 58188293400
Format: Article
Published: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) 2024
Subjects:
CA_MARKOV
climate change
CMIP6
GCMs
land use change
Pakistan
streamflow
SWAT
Kunhar Basin
Catchments
Climate change
Climate models
Economics
Land use
Stream flow
Sustainable development
Water management
Watersheds
CA-Markov
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
Coupled model intercomparison project phase 6
Global climate model
Global climates
Landuse change
Project phasis
Soil and Water assessment tools
Streamflow
catchment
CMIP
general circulation model
global climate
Markov chain
runoff
simulation
soil and water assessment tool
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-340132024-10-14T11:17:40Z Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios Haider S. Masood M.U. Rashid M. Alshehri F. Pande C.B. Katipo?lu O.M. Costache R. 58188293400 57062195300 57226273127 57224683617 57193547008 57203751801 55888132500 CA_MARKOV climate change CMIP6 GCMs land use change Pakistan streamflow SWAT Kunhar Basin Pakistan Catchments Climate change Climate models Economics Land use Stream flow Sustainable development Water management Watersheds CA-Markov Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 Global climate model Global climates Landuse change Pakistan Project phasis Soil and Water assessment tools Streamflow catchment climate change CMIP general circulation model global climate land use change Markov chain runoff simulation soil and water assessment tool streamflow SWAT Assessing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover changes on water resources within a catchment is essential because it helps us understand how these dynamic factors affect the quantity, quality, and availability of freshwater. This knowledge is crucial for making informed decisions about water management, conservation, and adaptation strategies, especially in regions facing increasing environmental uncertainties and challenges to water resource sustainability. In Pakistan�s Kunhar River Basin (KRB), this investigation explores the potential effects of shifting land use/land cover (LULC), and climate on stream flows. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), a semi-distributed hydrological model, and the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset from multiple global climate models (GCMs) were used to evaluate these effects. The temperature and precipitation data were downscaled using the CMhyd software for both shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP2 and SSP5), the top-performing GCM out of four was required to produce downscaled precipitation and temperature predictions while taking future land use characteristics into account. The output from the chosen GCM indicated that by the conclusion of the 21st century, relative to the reference period (1985�2014), the study area�s average monthly precipitation, highest temperature, and lowest temperature will be increasing. Precipitation is anticipated to increase between 2015 and 2100 by 20.5% and 29.1% according to the SSP2 and SSP5 scenarios, respectively. This study�s findings, which emphasize the need for project planners and managers taking into account the effects of climate and land cover changes in their management techniques, show that climate change can have a significant impact on the changing seasons of flows in the Kunhar River basin. � 2023 by the authors. Final 2024-10-14T03:17:39Z 2024-10-14T03:17:39Z 2023 Article 10.3390/w15193421 2-s2.0-85174068630 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85174068630&doi=10.3390%2fw15193421&partnerID=40&md5=7dd4c12c11cd1a6d30e1c56f86828236 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/34013 15 19 3421 All Open Access Gold Open Access Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) Scopus
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
topic CA_MARKOV
climate change
CMIP6
GCMs
land use change
Pakistan
streamflow
SWAT
Kunhar Basin
Pakistan
Catchments
Climate change
Climate models
Economics
Land use
Stream flow
Sustainable development
Water management
Watersheds
CA-Markov
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
Coupled model intercomparison project phase 6
Global climate model
Global climates
Landuse change
Pakistan
Project phasis
Soil and Water assessment tools
Streamflow
catchment
climate change
CMIP
general circulation model
global climate
land use change
Markov chain
runoff
simulation
soil and water assessment tool
streamflow
SWAT
spellingShingle CA_MARKOV
climate change
CMIP6
GCMs
land use change
Pakistan
streamflow
SWAT
Kunhar Basin
Pakistan
Catchments
Climate change
Climate models
Economics
Land use
Stream flow
Sustainable development
Water management
Watersheds
CA-Markov
Coupled Model Intercomparison Project
Coupled model intercomparison project phase 6
Global climate model
Global climates
Landuse change
Pakistan
Project phasis
Soil and Water assessment tools
Streamflow
catchment
climate change
CMIP
general circulation model
global climate
land use change
Markov chain
runoff
simulation
soil and water assessment tool
streamflow
SWAT
Haider S.
Masood M.U.
Rashid M.
Alshehri F.
Pande C.B.
Katipo?lu O.M.
Costache R.
Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
description Assessing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover changes on water resources within a catchment is essential because it helps us understand how these dynamic factors affect the quantity, quality, and availability of freshwater. This knowledge is crucial for making informed decisions about water management, conservation, and adaptation strategies, especially in regions facing increasing environmental uncertainties and challenges to water resource sustainability. In Pakistan�s Kunhar River Basin (KRB), this investigation explores the potential effects of shifting land use/land cover (LULC), and climate on stream flows. The SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool), a semi-distributed hydrological model, and the most recent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) dataset from multiple global climate models (GCMs) were used to evaluate these effects. The temperature and precipitation data were downscaled using the CMhyd software
author2 58188293400
author_facet 58188293400
Haider S.
Masood M.U.
Rashid M.
Alshehri F.
Pande C.B.
Katipo?lu O.M.
Costache R.
format Article
author Haider S.
Masood M.U.
Rashid M.
Alshehri F.
Pande C.B.
Katipo?lu O.M.
Costache R.
author_sort Haider S.
title Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
title_short Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
title_full Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
title_fullStr Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Simulation of the Potential Impacts of Projected Climate and Land Use Change on Runoff under CMIP6 Scenarios
title_sort simulation of the potential impacts of projected climate and land use change on runoff under cmip6 scenarios
publisher Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
publishDate 2024
_version_ 1814061162381180928
score 13.222552

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