Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach

This paper demonstrates the application of educational data mining in predicting applicant’s enrollment decision for academic programme in higher learning institution. This research specifically aims to address the application of data mining on higher education institution database to understand stu...

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Main Authors: Ab Ghani, N.L., Che Cob, Z., Mohd Drus, S., Sulaiman, H.
Format: Conference Paper
Language:English
Published: 2020
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-132122020-03-17T05:10:08Z Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach Ab Ghani, N.L. Che Cob, Z. Mohd Drus, S. Sulaiman, H. This paper demonstrates the application of educational data mining in predicting applicant’s enrollment decision for academic programme in higher learning institution. This research specifically aims to address the application of data mining on higher education institution database to understand student enrolment data and gaining insights into the important factors in making enrollment decision. By adapting the five phases of the Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) process model, detail explanations of the activities conducted to execute the data analytics project are discussed. Predictive models such as logistic regression, decision tree and naïve bayes were built and applied to process the data set. Subsequently, these models were tested for accuracy using 10-fold cross validation. Results show that, given adequate data and appropriate variables, these models are capable of predicting applicant’s enrollment decision with roughly 70% accuracy. It is noted that decision tree model yields the highest accuracy among the three prediction models. In addition, different significant factors are identified for different type of academic programmes applied as suggested by the findings. © 2019, Springer Nature Switzerland AG. 2020-02-03T03:31:08Z 2020-02-03T03:31:08Z 2019 Conference Paper 10.1007/978-3-030-20717-5_6 en
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
language English
description This paper demonstrates the application of educational data mining in predicting applicant’s enrollment decision for academic programme in higher learning institution. This research specifically aims to address the application of data mining on higher education institution database to understand student enrolment data and gaining insights into the important factors in making enrollment decision. By adapting the five phases of the Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) process model, detail explanations of the activities conducted to execute the data analytics project are discussed. Predictive models such as logistic regression, decision tree and naïve bayes were built and applied to process the data set. Subsequently, these models were tested for accuracy using 10-fold cross validation. Results show that, given adequate data and appropriate variables, these models are capable of predicting applicant’s enrollment decision with roughly 70% accuracy. It is noted that decision tree model yields the highest accuracy among the three prediction models. In addition, different significant factors are identified for different type of academic programmes applied as suggested by the findings. © 2019, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
format Conference Paper
author Ab Ghani, N.L.
Che Cob, Z.
Mohd Drus, S.
Sulaiman, H.
spellingShingle Ab Ghani, N.L.
Che Cob, Z.
Mohd Drus, S.
Sulaiman, H.
Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
author_facet Ab Ghani, N.L.
Che Cob, Z.
Mohd Drus, S.
Sulaiman, H.
author_sort Ab Ghani, N.L.
title Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
title_short Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
title_full Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
title_fullStr Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
title_full_unstemmed Student Enrolment Prediction Model in Higher Education Institution: A Data Mining Approach
title_sort student enrolment prediction model in higher education institution: a data mining approach
publishDate 2020
_version_ 1662758830789885952
score 13.211869