Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods

The current study explored the impact of climatic conditions on predicting evaporation from a reservoir. Several models have been developed for evaporation prediction under different scenarios, with artificial intelligence (AI) methods being the most popular. However, the existing models rely on sev...

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Main Authors: Allawi, M.F., Othman, F.B., Afan, H.A., Ahmed, A.N., Hossain, M.S., Fai, C.M., El-Shafie, A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2020
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-130092020-07-06T09:05:35Z Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods Allawi, M.F. Othman, F.B. Afan, H.A. Ahmed, A.N. Hossain, M.S. Fai, C.M. El-Shafie, A. The current study explored the impact of climatic conditions on predicting evaporation from a reservoir. Several models have been developed for evaporation prediction under different scenarios, with artificial intelligence (AI) methods being the most popular. However, the existing models rely on several climatic parameters as inputs to achieve an acceptable accuracy level, some of which have been unavailable in certain case studies. In addition, the existing AI-based models for evaporation prediction have paid less attention to the influence of the time increment rate on the prediction accuracy level. This study investigated the ability of the radial basis function neural network (RBF-NN) and support vector regression (SVR) methods to develop an evaporation rate prediction model for a tropical area at the Layang Reservoir, Johor River, Malaysia. Two scenarios for input architecture were explored in order to examine the effectiveness of different input variable patterns on the model prediction accuracy. For the first scenario, the input architecture considered only the historical evaporation rate time series, while the mean temperature and evaporation rate were used as input variables for the second scenario. For both scenarios, three time-increment series (daily, weekly, and monthly) were considered. © 2019 by the authors. 2020-02-03T03:28:28Z 2020-02-03T03:28:28Z 2019 Article 10.3390/w11061226 en
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
language English
description The current study explored the impact of climatic conditions on predicting evaporation from a reservoir. Several models have been developed for evaporation prediction under different scenarios, with artificial intelligence (AI) methods being the most popular. However, the existing models rely on several climatic parameters as inputs to achieve an acceptable accuracy level, some of which have been unavailable in certain case studies. In addition, the existing AI-based models for evaporation prediction have paid less attention to the influence of the time increment rate on the prediction accuracy level. This study investigated the ability of the radial basis function neural network (RBF-NN) and support vector regression (SVR) methods to develop an evaporation rate prediction model for a tropical area at the Layang Reservoir, Johor River, Malaysia. Two scenarios for input architecture were explored in order to examine the effectiveness of different input variable patterns on the model prediction accuracy. For the first scenario, the input architecture considered only the historical evaporation rate time series, while the mean temperature and evaporation rate were used as input variables for the second scenario. For both scenarios, three time-increment series (daily, weekly, and monthly) were considered. © 2019 by the authors.
format Article
author Allawi, M.F.
Othman, F.B.
Afan, H.A.
Ahmed, A.N.
Hossain, M.S.
Fai, C.M.
El-Shafie, A.
spellingShingle Allawi, M.F.
Othman, F.B.
Afan, H.A.
Ahmed, A.N.
Hossain, M.S.
Fai, C.M.
El-Shafie, A.
Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
author_facet Allawi, M.F.
Othman, F.B.
Afan, H.A.
Ahmed, A.N.
Hossain, M.S.
Fai, C.M.
El-Shafie, A.
author_sort Allawi, M.F.
title Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
title_short Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
title_full Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
title_fullStr Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
title_full_unstemmed Reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
title_sort reservoir evaporation prediction modeling based on artificial intelligence methods
publishDate 2020
_version_ 1672614198748643328
score 13.222552