Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market

In this paper, a novel framework for the estimation of optimal investment strategies for combined wind-thermal companies is proposed. The medium-term restructured power market was simulated by considering the stochastic and rational uncertainties, the wind uncertainty was evaluated based on a data m...

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Main Authors: Askari, M.T., Kadir, M.Z.A.A., Tahmasebi, M., Bolandifar, E.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2020
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spelling my.uniten.dspace-128782020-02-06T08:38:57Z Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market Askari, M.T. Kadir, M.Z.A.A. Tahmasebi, M. Bolandifar, E. In this paper, a novel framework for the estimation of optimal investment strategies for combined wind-thermal companies is proposed. The medium-term restructured power market was simulated by considering the stochastic and rational uncertainties, the wind uncertainty was evaluated based on a data mining technique, and the electricity demand and fuel price were simulated using the Monte Carlo method. The Cournot game concept was used to determine the Nash equilibrium for each state and stage of the stochastic dynamic programming (DP). Furthermore, the long-term stochastic uncertainties were modeled based on the Markov chain process. The long-term optimal investment strategies were then solved for combined wind-thermal investors based on the semi-definite programming (SDP) technique. Finally, the proposed framework was implemented in the hypothetical restructured power market using the IEEE reliability test system (RTS). The conducted case study confirmed that this framework provides robust decisions and precise information about the restructured power market for combined wind-thermal investors. © 2019, The Author(s). 2020-02-03T03:27:30Z 2020-02-03T03:27:30Z 2019 Article 10.1007/s40565-019-0505-x en
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/
language English
description In this paper, a novel framework for the estimation of optimal investment strategies for combined wind-thermal companies is proposed. The medium-term restructured power market was simulated by considering the stochastic and rational uncertainties, the wind uncertainty was evaluated based on a data mining technique, and the electricity demand and fuel price were simulated using the Monte Carlo method. The Cournot game concept was used to determine the Nash equilibrium for each state and stage of the stochastic dynamic programming (DP). Furthermore, the long-term stochastic uncertainties were modeled based on the Markov chain process. The long-term optimal investment strategies were then solved for combined wind-thermal investors based on the semi-definite programming (SDP) technique. Finally, the proposed framework was implemented in the hypothetical restructured power market using the IEEE reliability test system (RTS). The conducted case study confirmed that this framework provides robust decisions and precise information about the restructured power market for combined wind-thermal investors. © 2019, The Author(s).
format Article
author Askari, M.T.
Kadir, M.Z.A.A.
Tahmasebi, M.
Bolandifar, E.
spellingShingle Askari, M.T.
Kadir, M.Z.A.A.
Tahmasebi, M.
Bolandifar, E.
Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
author_facet Askari, M.T.
Kadir, M.Z.A.A.
Tahmasebi, M.
Bolandifar, E.
author_sort Askari, M.T.
title Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
title_short Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
title_full Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
title_fullStr Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
title_full_unstemmed Modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
title_sort modeling optimal long-term investment strategies of hybrid wind-thermal companies in restructured power market
publishDate 2020
_version_ 1662758782805999616
score 13.222552