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The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Law, T. H., Radin Umar, R. S.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Institution of Engineers, Malaysia 2011
Subjects:
Traffic deaths
Motorcycle safety program
Economic performance
Traffic exposures
Transfer function
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
Online Access:http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/13657
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spelling my.unimap-136572011-09-04T07:01:32Z The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia Law, T. H. Radin Umar, R. S. Traffic deaths Motorcycle safety program Economic performance Traffic exposures Transfer function Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Link to publisher's homepage at http://www.myiem.org.my/ This paper presents the effects of the recent economic crisis and the motorcycle safety program (MSP) on traffic deaths in Malaysia. The transfer function Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) technique was used to evaluate the overall effects of the interventions. The variables used in developing the model were the population, registered vehicle, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and traffic safety programs. Traffic death data from 1971 to 1998 were taken from the Traffic Police headquarters computer system while the GDP quarterly data were obtained from the Central Bank of Malaysia. The GDP data were used in this analysis since they reflect reasonably well to the effects of the recent economic down turn in the country. In addition, traffic exposure data particularly the number of population and registered vehicles were obtained from Statistical Department, Malaysia for the same years. The final model indicates that changes of population, registered vehicles and economy performance are positively correlated with the traffic deaths. In contrast, the safety intervention (MSP) was found to be significant (p<0.05) in reducing traffic deaths in Malaysia. 2011-09-04T07:01:32Z 2011-09-04T07:01:32Z 2004-09 Article The Journal of the Institution of Engineers, Malaysia, vol. 65(3/4), 2004, pages 28-32 0126-513X http://myiem.org.my/content/iem_journal_2004-175.aspx http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/13657 en The Institution of Engineers, Malaysia
institution Universiti Malaysia Perlis
building UniMAP Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Perlis
content_source UniMAP Library Digital Repository
url_provider http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/
language English
topic Traffic deaths
Motorcycle safety program
Economic performance
Traffic exposures
Transfer function
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
spellingShingle Traffic deaths
Motorcycle safety program
Economic performance
Traffic exposures
Transfer function
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA)
Law, T. H.
Radin Umar, R. S.
The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
description Link to publisher's homepage at http://www.myiem.org.my/
format Article
author Law, T. H.
Radin Umar, R. S.
author_facet Law, T. H.
Radin Umar, R. S.
author_sort Law, T. H.
title The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
title_short The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
title_full The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
title_fullStr The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed The effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in Malaysia
title_sort effect of economic crisis and targeted motorcycle safety program on traffic deaths in malaysia
publisher The Institution of Engineers, Malaysia
publishDate 2011
url http://dspace.unimap.edu.my/xmlui/handle/123456789/13657
_version_ 1643790894407614464
score 13.226497

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