Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study

The severe El Niño events of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016 caused significant disruptions in Southeast Asia, particularly in Borneo, resulting in hazardous haze and acute water shortages. This study examines the influence of El Niño, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Madden– Julian oscillation (MJO)...

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Main Authors: Ricky Anak Kemarau, Wee Hin Boo, Zaini Sakawi, Ramzah Dambul, Stanley Anak Suab, Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar, Oliver Valentine Eboy, Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: IWA Publishing 2024
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Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/
https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2024.022
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spelling my.ums.eprints.419982024-11-26T05:43:29Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/ Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study Ricky Anak Kemarau Wee Hin Boo Zaini Sakawi Ramzah Dambul Stanley Anak Suab Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar Oliver Valentine Eboy Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin DT421-432.5 East Africa. British East Africa GC229-296.8 Currents The severe El Niño events of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016 caused significant disruptions in Southeast Asia, particularly in Borneo, resulting in hazardous haze and acute water shortages. This study examines the influence of El Niño, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Madden– Julian oscillation (MJO) on regional climate, using time-series data from February 1993 to December 2020. Data from El Niño, IOD, and MJO indices were integrated with Landsat 5 and 8 land surface temperature records, allowing for a detailed analysis of their combined effects on regional temperature and precipitation patterns. Time-series trend decomposition and the generalized linear mixed model approach identified the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) as a significant driver of temperature increases and dry spell occurrences during the peak El Niño years. On the other hand, ONI correlated strongly with mean monthly temperatures, underscoring its dominant influence. In addition, the IOD was found to significantly affect regional temperatures with a regression coefficient of 0.38867 (p ¼ 0.0455), indicating its significant but less pronounced impact compared with ONI. These findings clarify the dynamics between key climate indices and their impact on regional climate extremes, offering critical insights for improving climate resilience and adaptation in tropical regions. IWA Publishing 2024 Article NonPeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/1/ABSTRACT.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf Ricky Anak Kemarau and Wee Hin Boo and Zaini Sakawi and Ramzah Dambul and Stanley Anak Suab and Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar and Oliver Valentine Eboy and Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin (2024) Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study. Journal of Water and Climate Change, 15 (8). pp. 1-22. ISSN 2040-2244 https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2024.022
institution Universiti Malaysia Sabah
building UMS Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Sabah
content_source UMS Institutional Repository
url_provider http://eprints.ums.edu.my/
language English
English
topic DT421-432.5 East Africa. British East Africa
GC229-296.8 Currents
spellingShingle DT421-432.5 East Africa. British East Africa
GC229-296.8 Currents
Ricky Anak Kemarau
Wee Hin Boo
Zaini Sakawi
Ramzah Dambul
Stanley Anak Suab
Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar
Oliver Valentine Eboy
Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin
Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
description The severe El Niño events of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016 caused significant disruptions in Southeast Asia, particularly in Borneo, resulting in hazardous haze and acute water shortages. This study examines the influence of El Niño, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), and the Madden– Julian oscillation (MJO) on regional climate, using time-series data from February 1993 to December 2020. Data from El Niño, IOD, and MJO indices were integrated with Landsat 5 and 8 land surface temperature records, allowing for a detailed analysis of their combined effects on regional temperature and precipitation patterns. Time-series trend decomposition and the generalized linear mixed model approach identified the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) as a significant driver of temperature increases and dry spell occurrences during the peak El Niño years. On the other hand, ONI correlated strongly with mean monthly temperatures, underscoring its dominant influence. In addition, the IOD was found to significantly affect regional temperatures with a regression coefficient of 0.38867 (p ¼ 0.0455), indicating its significant but less pronounced impact compared with ONI. These findings clarify the dynamics between key climate indices and their impact on regional climate extremes, offering critical insights for improving climate resilience and adaptation in tropical regions.
format Article
author Ricky Anak Kemarau
Wee Hin Boo
Zaini Sakawi
Ramzah Dambul
Stanley Anak Suab
Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar
Oliver Valentine Eboy
Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin
author_facet Ricky Anak Kemarau
Wee Hin Boo
Zaini Sakawi
Ramzah Dambul
Stanley Anak Suab
Wan Shafrina Wan Mohd Jaafar
Oliver Valentine Eboy
Muhammad Ammar Fakhry Norzin
author_sort Ricky Anak Kemarau
title Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
title_short Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
title_full Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
title_fullStr Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
title_full_unstemmed Impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in Kuching City Sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: A pilot study
title_sort impact of el niño, indian ocean dipole, and madden–julian oscillation on land surface temperature in kuching city sarawak, during the periods of 1997/1998 and 2015/2016: a pilot study
publisher IWA Publishing
publishDate 2024
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/2/FULL%20TEXT.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/41998/
https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2024.022
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