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Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state

This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predicto...

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Main Author: Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
Format: Undergraduates Project Papers
Language:English
Published: 2016
Subjects:
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-CD%2010230.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/
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spelling my.ump.umpir.161402022-10-26T02:21:55Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/ Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predictor derived from National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). About 5 predictors were selected for 12 rainfall stations and 1 temperature station based on the correlation value between predictors-predictant relationships Moreover, statistical downscaling model are used to produce the possible projection values of local meteorological variable such as temperature and rainfall at the location already selected which is at Pahang state. The purpose of this study is to generate the future climate trend in term of temperature, rainfall and wet and dry length in the future year 2010 to 2099. This study also wants to estimate the percentage of climatic changes between historical and upcoming at future year. Using SDSM model, the result will be more performed better than other model. The calibrated and validated results show the SDSM produce good simulated result with average error only 0.3% for temperature and 10% for rainfall. 2016-06 Undergraduates Project Papers NonPeerReviewed pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-CD%2010230.pdf Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi (2016) Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state. Faculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources, Universiti Malaysia Pahang.
institution Universiti Malaysia Pahang
building UMP Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Pahang
content_source UMP Institutional Repository
url_provider http://umpir.ump.edu.my/
language English
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
description This paper assesses the projection of future changes that focus on climatic trend at Pahang state. To analyse this changes of climate, one of the models are used to stimulate this projection which is using statistical downscaling model (SDSM). In this study, the SDSM has been measured using predictor derived from National Centre for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). About 5 predictors were selected for 12 rainfall stations and 1 temperature station based on the correlation value between predictors-predictant relationships Moreover, statistical downscaling model are used to produce the possible projection values of local meteorological variable such as temperature and rainfall at the location already selected which is at Pahang state. The purpose of this study is to generate the future climate trend in term of temperature, rainfall and wet and dry length in the future year 2010 to 2099. This study also wants to estimate the percentage of climatic changes between historical and upcoming at future year. Using SDSM model, the result will be more performed better than other model. The calibrated and validated results show the SDSM produce good simulated result with average error only 0.3% for temperature and 10% for rainfall.
format Undergraduates Project Papers
author Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
author_facet Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
author_sort Nur Hanani Farhah, Mohd Hilmi
title Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_short Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_full Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_fullStr Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_full_unstemmed Projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at Pahang state
title_sort projection the future changes of rainfall and temperature at pahang state
publishDate 2016
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/1/Projection%20the%20future%20changes%20of%20rainfall%20and%20temperature%20at%20Pahang%20state-CD%2010230.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/16140/
_version_ 1748180657989746688
score 13.211869

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