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The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade

This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations for analyzing the economic dimensions of a territorial military conflict. The Intraregional Trade Disruption from War Simulator (ITDW-Simulator) attempts to estimate the heterogeneous macroeconomic effects of the military conflict. The model sug...

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Main Authors: Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz, Koutronas, Evangelos
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2022
Subjects:
HB Economic Theory
Online Access:http://eprints.um.edu.my/40988/
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spelling my.um.eprints.409882023-08-29T02:44:06Z http://eprints.um.edu.my/40988/ The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz Koutronas, Evangelos HB Economic Theory This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations for analyzing the economic dimensions of a territorial military conflict. The Intraregional Trade Disruption from War Simulator (ITDW-Simulator) attempts to estimate the heterogeneous macroeconomic effects of the military conflict. The model suggests two primary indicators and four secondary indicators. The final trade suffocation index ((TS-Index)) and the final investment desgrowth from war function (-delta(w)) measure trade disruption's potential impact on international trade patterns and economic development. The agriculture exports, industrial and manufacturing exports, service exports, and FDI flows capture the trade and investment interdependency. The model investigates the impact of the Russo-Ukraine military conflict on the bilateral trade and investment between the Russian Federation and the European Union. (C) 2022 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Elsevier 2022-05 Article PeerReviewed Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz and Koutronas, Evangelos (2022) The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade. Journal of Policy Modeling, 44 (3). pp. 599-616. ISSN 0161-8938, DOI https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.06.004 <https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.06.004>. 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2022.06.004
institution Universiti Malaya
building UM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaya
content_source UM Research Repository
url_provider http://eprints.um.edu.my/
topic HB Economic Theory
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz
Koutronas, Evangelos
The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
description This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations for analyzing the economic dimensions of a territorial military conflict. The Intraregional Trade Disruption from War Simulator (ITDW-Simulator) attempts to estimate the heterogeneous macroeconomic effects of the military conflict. The model suggests two primary indicators and four secondary indicators. The final trade suffocation index ((TS-Index)) and the final investment desgrowth from war function (-delta(w)) measure trade disruption's potential impact on international trade patterns and economic development. The agriculture exports, industrial and manufacturing exports, service exports, and FDI flows capture the trade and investment interdependency. The model investigates the impact of the Russo-Ukraine military conflict on the bilateral trade and investment between the Russian Federation and the European Union. (C) 2022 The Society for Policy Modeling. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
format Article
author Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz
Koutronas, Evangelos
author_facet Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz
Koutronas, Evangelos
author_sort Estrada, Mario Arturo Ruiz
title The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
title_short The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
title_full The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
title_fullStr The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
title_full_unstemmed The impact of the Russian Aggression against Ukraine on the Russia-EU Trade
title_sort impact of the russian aggression against ukraine on the russia-eu trade
publisher Elsevier
publishDate 2022
url http://eprints.um.edu.my/40988/
_version_ 1776247427175546880
score 13.211869

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