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Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia

Agricultural production is sensitive to climate variability, so climate change-agriculture sector nexus is topical in developing countries. To this end, this study examines the impact of climate change variables-rainfall and temperature-and non-climatic factors on maize production in Somalia for the...

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Main Authors: Warsame, Abdimalik Ali, Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir, Barre, Galad Mohamed, Ahmed, Abdulnasir
Format: Article
Published: Springer Heidelberg 2023
Subjects:
GE Environmental Sciences
Online Access:http://eprints.um.edu.my/39480/
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spelling my.um.eprints.394802024-11-27T06:36:16Z http://eprints.um.edu.my/39480/ Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia Warsame, Abdimalik Ali Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir Barre, Galad Mohamed Ahmed, Abdulnasir GE Environmental Sciences Agricultural production is sensitive to climate variability, so climate change-agriculture sector nexus is topical in developing countries. To this end, this study examines the impact of climate change variables-rainfall and temperature-and non-climatic factors on maize production in Somalia for the period between 1980 and 2018 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test, dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS), variance decomposition(VD), and impulse response function (IRF). The empirical results of the ARDL bound test confirmed the presence of long-run cointegration between the dependent variable and the explanatory variables. Furthermore, the long-run results revealed that average temperature, average rainfall, and political instability significantly inhibit maize production in the long and short runs, but rainfall has a favorable effect on maize production in the short run. Furthermore, rural population and land area under maize cultivation have negative and positive effects on maize production in the long run, respectively-albeit they are statistically insignificant. The empirical results of the study are robust to different econometric methods. Based on these findings, the study emphasizes the importance of the de-escalation of conflicts and the implementation of irrigation facilities which will enhance the productivity of maize crop production. Springer Heidelberg 2023-01 Article PeerReviewed Warsame, Abdimalik Ali and Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir and Barre, Galad Mohamed and Ahmed, Abdulnasir (2023) Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia. Environmental Science And Pollution Research, 30 (2). pp. 3293-3306. ISSN 0944-1344, DOI https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-22227-1 <https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-22227-1>. 10.1007/s11356-022-22227-1
institution Universiti Malaya
building UM Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Malaya
content_source UM Research Repository
url_provider http://eprints.um.edu.my/
topic GE Environmental Sciences
spellingShingle GE Environmental Sciences
Warsame, Abdimalik Ali
Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir
Barre, Galad Mohamed
Ahmed, Abdulnasir
Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
description Agricultural production is sensitive to climate variability, so climate change-agriculture sector nexus is topical in developing countries. To this end, this study examines the impact of climate change variables-rainfall and temperature-and non-climatic factors on maize production in Somalia for the period between 1980 and 2018 using the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test, dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS), variance decomposition(VD), and impulse response function (IRF). The empirical results of the ARDL bound test confirmed the presence of long-run cointegration between the dependent variable and the explanatory variables. Furthermore, the long-run results revealed that average temperature, average rainfall, and political instability significantly inhibit maize production in the long and short runs, but rainfall has a favorable effect on maize production in the short run. Furthermore, rural population and land area under maize cultivation have negative and positive effects on maize production in the long run, respectively-albeit they are statistically insignificant. The empirical results of the study are robust to different econometric methods. Based on these findings, the study emphasizes the importance of the de-escalation of conflicts and the implementation of irrigation facilities which will enhance the productivity of maize crop production.
format Article
author Warsame, Abdimalik Ali
Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir
Barre, Galad Mohamed
Ahmed, Abdulnasir
author_facet Warsame, Abdimalik Ali
Sheik-Ali, Ibrahim Abdukadir
Barre, Galad Mohamed
Ahmed, Abdulnasir
author_sort Warsame, Abdimalik Ali
title Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
title_short Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
title_full Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
title_fullStr Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
title_full_unstemmed Examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in Somalia
title_sort examining the effects of climate change and political instability on maize production in somalia
publisher Springer Heidelberg
publishDate 2023
url http://eprints.um.edu.my/39480/
_version_ 1817841945293094912
score 13.2400255

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