Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri
The unsold units of residential housing in Malaysia were surged significantly in four consecutive years starting from 2015 and Johor was ranked as the highest in unsold housing over other states in Malaysia. Therefore, this study aims to identify the causal factors of unsold new residential housing...
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my.uitm.ir.562312022-12-05T00:08:46Z https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/56231/ Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri Lok, Lee Wen Sapiri, Hasimah HT Communities. Classes. Races City planning The unsold units of residential housing in Malaysia were surged significantly in four consecutive years starting from 2015 and Johor was ranked as the highest in unsold housing over other states in Malaysia. Therefore, this study aims to identify the causal factors of unsold new residential housing and to analyse the dynamic relationship between the causal factors, unsold new housing, and the housing market in Johor. First, the model was developed to present the dynamic relationship between the factors and the unsold housing using a system dynamics approach, then the simulation results were compared with the real data, called the behavioural validity test. After that, the model was validated through the least square method. Results showed three main factors that influenced unsold new housing stocks in Johor: house prices, housing demand and housing supply. Meanwhile, those three main factors were affected by other aspects, such as household income, demand for housing loans, inflation rate and construction cost. 2021 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/56231/1/56231.pdf Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri. (2021) In: e-Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Computing, Mathematics and Statistics (iCMS 2021), 4-5 August 2021. |
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HT Communities. Classes. Races City planning Lok, Lee Wen Sapiri, Hasimah Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
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The unsold units of residential housing in Malaysia were surged significantly in four consecutive years starting from 2015 and Johor was ranked as the highest in unsold housing over other states in Malaysia. Therefore, this study aims to identify the causal factors of unsold new residential housing and to analyse the dynamic relationship between the causal factors, unsold new housing, and the housing market in Johor. First, the model was developed to present the dynamic relationship between the factors and the unsold housing using a system dynamics approach, then the simulation results were compared with the real data, called the behavioural validity test. After that, the model was validated through the least square method. Results showed three main factors that influenced unsold new housing stocks in Johor: house prices, housing demand and housing supply. Meanwhile, those three main factors were affected by other aspects, such as household income, demand for housing loans, inflation rate and construction cost. |
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Conference or Workshop Item |
author |
Lok, Lee Wen Sapiri, Hasimah |
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Lok, Lee Wen Sapiri, Hasimah |
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Lok, Lee Wen |
title |
Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
title_short |
Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
title_full |
Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
title_fullStr |
Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
title_full_unstemmed |
Dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in Johor / Lok Lee Wen and Hasimah Sapiri |
title_sort |
dynamics simulation approach in model development of unsold new residential housing in johor / lok lee wen and hasimah sapiri |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/56231/1/56231.pdf https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/56231/ |
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1751539854389280768 |
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13.211869 |