Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate

This paper proposes an ensemble method based on neural network architecture and stacking generalization. The objective is to develop a novel ensemble of Artificial Neural Network models with back propagation network and dynamic Recurrent Neural Network to improve prediction accuracy. Historical...

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Main Authors: Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin, Ndzi, David, Mahdin, Hairulnizam, Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:en
Published: 2020
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/1/KP%202020%20%2871%29.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36056-6_24
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author Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Ndzi, David
Mahdin, Hairulnizam
Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim
author_facet Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Ndzi, David
Mahdin, Hairulnizam
Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim
author_sort Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
building UTHM Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
content_source UTHM Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description This paper proposes an ensemble method based on neural network architecture and stacking generalization. The objective is to develop a novel ensemble of Artificial Neural Network models with back propagation network and dynamic Recurrent Neural Network to improve prediction accuracy. Historical meteorological parameters and rainfall intensity have been used for predicting the rainfall intensity forecast. Hourly predicted rainfall intensity forecast are compared and analyzed for all models. The result shows that for 1 h of prediction, the neural network ensemble forecast model returns 94% of precision value. The study achieves that the ensemble neural network model shows significant improvement in prediction performance as compared to the individual neural network model.
format Conference or Workshop Item
id my.uthm.eprints-3421
institution Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
language en
publishDate 2020
record_format eprints
spelling my.uthm.eprints-34212021-11-02T03:18:17Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/ Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin Ndzi, David Mahdin, Hairulnizam Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim TK5101-6720 Telecommunication. Including telegraphy, telephone, radio, radar, television This paper proposes an ensemble method based on neural network architecture and stacking generalization. The objective is to develop a novel ensemble of Artificial Neural Network models with back propagation network and dynamic Recurrent Neural Network to improve prediction accuracy. Historical meteorological parameters and rainfall intensity have been used for predicting the rainfall intensity forecast. Hourly predicted rainfall intensity forecast are compared and analyzed for all models. The result shows that for 1 h of prediction, the neural network ensemble forecast model returns 94% of precision value. The study achieves that the ensemble neural network model shows significant improvement in prediction performance as compared to the individual neural network model. 2020 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/1/KP%202020%20%2871%29.pdf Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin and Ndzi, David and Mahdin, Hairulnizam and Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim (2020) Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate. In: Fourth International Conference on Soft Computing and Data Mining (SCDM 2020), 22-23 January 2020, Melaka, Malaysia. (Submitted) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36056-6_24
spellingShingle TK5101-6720 Telecommunication. Including telegraphy, telephone, radio, radar, television
Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Ndzi, David
Mahdin, Hairulnizam
Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim
Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title_full Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title_fullStr Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title_short Rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
title_sort rainfall intensity forecast using ensemble artificial neural network and data fusion for tropical climate
topic TK5101-6720 Telecommunication. Including telegraphy, telephone, radio, radar, television
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/1/KP%202020%20%2871%29.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/3421/
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-36056-6_24
url_provider http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/