A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product

This study provides a time series analysis and interpretation of the output for forecast sales of chicken based food product of weekly sales data. These data were collected directly from the outlet shop of one factory in Malacca started from January 2015 to December 2016. Methods of forecasting incl...

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Main Authors: Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan, Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah, Che Him, Norziha, Shafi, Muhammad Ammar, Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu, Suhartono, Suhartono
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:en
Published: 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/1/P12648_52071b6faf45269b556bfb96ba67f27c.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/
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author Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
Che Him, Norziha
Shafi, Muhammad Ammar
Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu
Suhartono, Suhartono
author_facet Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
Che Him, Norziha
Shafi, Muhammad Ammar
Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu
Suhartono, Suhartono
author_sort Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan
building UTHM Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
content_source UTHM Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description This study provides a time series analysis and interpretation of the output for forecast sales of chicken based food product of weekly sales data. These data were collected directly from the outlet shop of one factory in Malacca started from January 2015 to December 2016. Methods of forecasting include autoregressive (AR) method and simple exponential smoothing (SES) method. The accuracy for both methods will be compared using mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean absolute deviation (MAD). There will be 1 period ahead of predictions for AR method and 1 period ahead for SES method. This analysis found that AR method with AR (1) model is more accurate than SES method and can be used for the future prediction of chicken based food product of weekly sales data. Recommendations for future study is trying out other method to analyse this sales of chicken based food product and using R software to analyse the dataset.
format Conference or Workshop Item
id my.uthm.eprints-2618
institution Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
language en
publishDate 2021
record_format eprints
spelling my.uthm.eprints-26182021-10-25T07:55:49Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/ A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah Che Him, Norziha Shafi, Muhammad Ammar Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu Suhartono, Suhartono HG4001-4285 Finance management. Business finance. Corporation finance This study provides a time series analysis and interpretation of the output for forecast sales of chicken based food product of weekly sales data. These data were collected directly from the outlet shop of one factory in Malacca started from January 2015 to December 2016. Methods of forecasting include autoregressive (AR) method and simple exponential smoothing (SES) method. The accuracy for both methods will be compared using mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and mean absolute deviation (MAD). There will be 1 period ahead of predictions for AR method and 1 period ahead for SES method. This analysis found that AR method with AR (1) model is more accurate than SES method and can be used for the future prediction of chicken based food product of weekly sales data. Recommendations for future study is trying out other method to analyse this sales of chicken based food product and using R software to analyse the dataset. 2021 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/1/P12648_52071b6faf45269b556bfb96ba67f27c.pdf Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan and Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah and Che Him, Norziha and Shafi, Muhammad Ammar and Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu and Suhartono, Suhartono (2021) A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product. In: https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0053699, 1-2 December 2020, UTHM.
spellingShingle HG4001-4285 Finance management. Business finance. Corporation finance
Amir Hamzah, Diyana Izyan
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
Che Him, Norziha
Shafi, Muhammad Ammar
Alma, Ozlem Gurunlu
Suhartono, Suhartono
A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title_full A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title_fullStr A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title_full_unstemmed A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title_short A time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
title_sort time series analysis for sales of chicken based food product
topic HG4001-4285 Finance management. Business finance. Corporation finance
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/1/P12648_52071b6faf45269b556bfb96ba67f27c.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/2618/
url_provider http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/