Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm

Time series forecasting has been gaining attention since the COVID19 pandemic to predict sales, economics, and weather outcomes. In this research, an empirical study on a time series model was done to predict daily gold prices using historical everyday gold prices from 1st January 2020 to 31st Decem...

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Main Authors: Mun, Woon Kah, Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus, Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah, Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal
Format: Article
Language:en
Published: 2025
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Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/1/J19606_2b6d9f1252ef2908d6f1759eddb58f60.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/
https://doi.org/10.17654/0972361725031
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author Mun, Woon Kah
Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal
author_facet Mun, Woon Kah
Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal
author_sort Mun, Woon Kah
building UTHM Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
content_source UTHM Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description Time series forecasting has been gaining attention since the COVID19 pandemic to predict sales, economics, and weather outcomes. In this research, an empirical study on a time series model was done to predict daily gold prices using historical everyday gold prices from 1st January 2020 to 31st December 2021 as the training and testing dataset. The performance of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), long short-term memory (LSTM) and hybrid-model ARIMA-LSTM was compared through their mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean-squared error (RMSE) values. The results showed that the model with the smallest RMSE was the hybrid ARIMA-LSTM, but the model with the smallest MAPE was LSTM.
format Article
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institution Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
language en
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spelling my.uthm.eprints-127112025-06-25T23:51:41Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/ Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm Mun, Woon Kah Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal HG Finance Time series forecasting has been gaining attention since the COVID19 pandemic to predict sales, economics, and weather outcomes. In this research, an empirical study on a time series model was done to predict daily gold prices using historical everyday gold prices from 1st January 2020 to 31st December 2021 as the training and testing dataset. The performance of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), long short-term memory (LSTM) and hybrid-model ARIMA-LSTM was compared through their mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean-squared error (RMSE) values. The results showed that the model with the smallest RMSE was the hybrid ARIMA-LSTM, but the model with the smallest MAPE was LSTM. 2025 Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/1/J19606_2b6d9f1252ef2908d6f1759eddb58f60.pdf Mun, Woon Kah and Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus and Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah and Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal (2025) Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm. Advances and Applications in Statistics, 92 (5). 749 -766. ISSN 0972-3617 https://doi.org/10.17654/0972361725031
spellingShingle HG Finance
Mun, Woon Kah
Sufahani, Suliadi Firaus
Kamil, Anton Abdulbasah
Mohd Nawawi, Mohd Kamal
Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title_full Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title_fullStr Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title_full_unstemmed Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title_short Prediction Of Gold Prices Using Hybrid Model Arima-Lstm
title_sort prediction of gold prices using hybrid model arima-lstm
topic HG Finance
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/1/J19606_2b6d9f1252ef2908d6f1759eddb58f60.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12711/
https://doi.org/10.17654/0972361725031
url_provider http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/