Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin

This research delves into the effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks with Multilayer Perceptron (ANN-MLP) and Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous inputs (NARX) models in predicting short-term rainfall-runoff patterns in the Batu Pahat River Basin. This study aims to predict river water leve...

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Main Authors: Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah, Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin, Kamaludin, Hazalila, Jofri, Muhamad Hanif, Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu, Rasyidah, Rasyidah
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Language:en
Published: joiv 2024
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Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/1/J18052_15e55d4e1ff93e15f23cba30e9d47988.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/
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author Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah
Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Kamaludin, Hazalila
Jofri, Muhamad Hanif
Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu
Rasyidah, Rasyidah
author_facet Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah
Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Kamaludin, Hazalila
Jofri, Muhamad Hanif
Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu
Rasyidah, Rasyidah
author_sort Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah
building UTHM Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
content_source UTHM Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description This research delves into the effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks with Multilayer Perceptron (ANN-MLP) and Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous inputs (NARX) models in predicting short-term rainfall-runoff patterns in the Batu Pahat River Basin. This study aims to predict river water levels using historical rainfall and river level data for future intervals of 1, 3, and 6 hours. Data preprocessing techniques, including the management of missing values, identification of outliers, and reduction of noise, were applied to enhance the accuracy and dependability of the models. This study assessed the performance of the models for ANNMLP and NARX by comparing their effectiveness across various forecast timeframes and evaluating their performance in different scenarios. The findings of the study revealed that the ANN-MLP model showed robust performance in short-term prediction. On the contrary, the NARX model exhibited higher accuracy, particularly in capturing intricate temporal relationships and external impacts on river behavior. The ANN-MLP produces 99% accuracy for 1-hour prediction, and NARX yields 98% accuracy with 0.3245 Root Mean Squared Error and 0.1967 Mean Absolute Error. This study makes a valuable contribution to hydrological forecasting by presenting a rigorous and precise modeling methodology.
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spelling my.uthm.eprints-125472025-03-11T01:34:00Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/ Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin Kamaludin, Hazalila Jofri, Muhamad Hanif Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu Rasyidah, Rasyidah QA Mathematics This research delves into the effectiveness of Artificial Neural Networks with Multilayer Perceptron (ANN-MLP) and Nonlinear AutoRegressive with eXogenous inputs (NARX) models in predicting short-term rainfall-runoff patterns in the Batu Pahat River Basin. This study aims to predict river water levels using historical rainfall and river level data for future intervals of 1, 3, and 6 hours. Data preprocessing techniques, including the management of missing values, identification of outliers, and reduction of noise, were applied to enhance the accuracy and dependability of the models. This study assessed the performance of the models for ANNMLP and NARX by comparing their effectiveness across various forecast timeframes and evaluating their performance in different scenarios. The findings of the study revealed that the ANN-MLP model showed robust performance in short-term prediction. On the contrary, the NARX model exhibited higher accuracy, particularly in capturing intricate temporal relationships and external impacts on river behavior. The ANN-MLP produces 99% accuracy for 1-hour prediction, and NARX yields 98% accuracy with 0.3245 Root Mean Squared Error and 0.1967 Mean Absolute Error. This study makes a valuable contribution to hydrological forecasting by presenting a rigorous and precise modeling methodology. joiv 2024 Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/1/J18052_15e55d4e1ff93e15f23cba30e9d47988.pdf Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah and Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin and Kamaludin, Hazalila and Jofri, Muhamad Hanif and Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu and Rasyidah, Rasyidah (2024) Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin. International Journal on Informatics Visualization, 8 (2). pp. 613-622.
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Zulkiflee, Nurul Najihah
Mohd Safar, Noor Zuraidin
Kamaludin, Hazalila
Jofri, Muhamad Hanif
Kamarudin, Noraziahtulhidayu
Rasyidah, Rasyidah
Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title_full Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title_fullStr Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title_full_unstemmed Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title_short Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using Artificial Neural Network for Batu Pahat River Basin
title_sort rainfall-runoff modeling using artificial neural network for batu pahat river basin
topic QA Mathematics
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/1/J18052_15e55d4e1ff93e15f23cba30e9d47988.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/12547/
url_provider http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/