Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia

Over the past four years, the world has grappled with an unprecedented global pandemic caused by COVID-19, resulting in a significant surge in reported cases and fatalities across numerous countries. This health crisis has had far-reaching demographic repercussions, with a notable decline in global...

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Main Authors: Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib, Sathasivam, Saratha, Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay, Adzhar, Nur Hafieza, Shamsudin, Nur Hannani, Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati
Format: Article
Language:en
Published: 2024
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Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/1/J17428_c54416c057cf3f2ffc53a45f1908cdff.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/
https://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v33.i2
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_version_ 1833419635466174464
author Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib
Sathasivam, Saratha
Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay
Adzhar, Nur Hafieza
Shamsudin, Nur Hannani
Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati
author_facet Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib
Sathasivam, Saratha
Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay
Adzhar, Nur Hafieza
Shamsudin, Nur Hannani
Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati
author_sort Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib
building UTHM Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
content_source UTHM Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description Over the past four years, the world has grappled with an unprecedented global pandemic caused by COVID-19, resulting in a significant surge in reported cases and fatalities across numerous countries. This health crisis has had far-reaching demographic repercussions, with a notable decline in global birth rates, plummeting by 1.12% in 2020 compared to the preceding year. This trend is exemplified in Malaysia, where the number of births dwindled from 123,751 in September 2019 to 116,434 during the corresponding period in 2020. The reluctance to have children stems from the heightened vulnerability to the virus, compounded by financial constraints due to widespread unemployment, further dampening population growth. This study is dedicated to comprehending the impact of COVID-19 on Malaysia's population growth rates and forecasting its trajectory for the subsequent five years following the outbreak. Researchers scrutinized the data using numerical methods and population modeling and employed the Euler method, aided by MATLAB software, to compare their findings against authentic population figures. Their analysis disclosed that the COVID-19 pandemic affected Malaysia's population growth rates, although it did not directly impact mortality rates, as recovery rates exceeded mortality rates. In essence, the pandemic has primarily influenced birth rates, contributing to a noteworthy demographic shift in the country.
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spelling my.uthm.eprints-118452025-04-29T07:12:01Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/ Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib Sathasivam, Saratha Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay Adzhar, Nur Hafieza Shamsudin, Nur Hannani Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati HB Economic Theory Over the past four years, the world has grappled with an unprecedented global pandemic caused by COVID-19, resulting in a significant surge in reported cases and fatalities across numerous countries. This health crisis has had far-reaching demographic repercussions, with a notable decline in global birth rates, plummeting by 1.12% in 2020 compared to the preceding year. This trend is exemplified in Malaysia, where the number of births dwindled from 123,751 in September 2019 to 116,434 during the corresponding period in 2020. The reluctance to have children stems from the heightened vulnerability to the virus, compounded by financial constraints due to widespread unemployment, further dampening population growth. This study is dedicated to comprehending the impact of COVID-19 on Malaysia's population growth rates and forecasting its trajectory for the subsequent five years following the outbreak. Researchers scrutinized the data using numerical methods and population modeling and employed the Euler method, aided by MATLAB software, to compare their findings against authentic population figures. Their analysis disclosed that the COVID-19 pandemic affected Malaysia's population growth rates, although it did not directly impact mortality rates, as recovery rates exceeded mortality rates. In essence, the pandemic has primarily influenced birth rates, contributing to a noteworthy demographic shift in the country. 2024 Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/1/J17428_c54416c057cf3f2ffc53a45f1908cdff.pdf Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib and Sathasivam, Saratha and Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay and Adzhar, Nur Hafieza and Shamsudin, Nur Hannani and Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati (2024) Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia. Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, 33 (2). pp. 1224-1234. ISSN 2502-4752 https://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v33.i2
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Alzaeemi, Shehab Abdulhabib
Sathasivam, Saratha
Kim Gaik Tay, Kim Gaik Tay
Adzhar, Nur Hafieza
Shamsudin, Nur Hannani
Ramli, Nur Ain Izzati
Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title_full Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title_fullStr Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title_short Numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in Malaysia
title_sort numerical modelling of the impact of coronavirus disease 2019 on fertility and population growth rate in malaysia
topic HB Economic Theory
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/1/J17428_c54416c057cf3f2ffc53a45f1908cdff.pdf
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/11845/
https://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v33.i2
url_provider http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/