Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India

Accurate prediction of pan evaporation and mean temperature is crucial for effective water resources management, influencing the hydrological cycle and impacting water availability. This study focused on New Delhi?s semi-arid climate, data spanning 31 years (1990?2020) were used to predict these var...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Rajput J., Kushwaha N.L., Srivastava A., Pande C.B., Suna T., Sena D.R., Singh D.K., Mishra A.K., Sahoo P.K., Elbeltagi A.
Other Authors: 57211190879
Format: Article
Published: IWA Publishing 2025
Subjects:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1833349414172753920
author Rajput J.
Kushwaha N.L.
Srivastava A.
Pande C.B.
Suna T.
Sena D.R.
Singh D.K.
Mishra A.K.
Sahoo P.K.
Elbeltagi A.
author2 57211190879
author_facet 57211190879
Rajput J.
Kushwaha N.L.
Srivastava A.
Pande C.B.
Suna T.
Sena D.R.
Singh D.K.
Mishra A.K.
Sahoo P.K.
Elbeltagi A.
author_sort Rajput J.
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description Accurate prediction of pan evaporation and mean temperature is crucial for effective water resources management, influencing the hydrological cycle and impacting water availability. This study focused on New Delhi?s semi-arid climate, data spanning 31 years (1990?2020) were used to predict these variables using advanced algorithms such as Bagging, Random Subspace (RSS), M5P, and REPTree. The models were rigorously evaluated using 10 performance metrics, including correlation coefficient, mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash?Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) model coefficient. The Bagging model emerged as the best model with performance indices values as r, MAE, RMSE, RAE, RRSE, MBE NSE, d, KGE, and MAPE as 0.86, 0.76, 1.43, 32.70, 49.44, 0.03, 0.85, 0.96, 0.90, and 22.0, respectively, during model testing phase for pan evaporation prediction. In predicting mean temperature, the Bagging model reported the best results with performance indices values as r, MAE, RMSE, RAE, RRSE, MBE NSE, d, KGE, and MAPE as 0.86, 0.76, 1.43, 32.70, 49.44, 0.03, 0.85, 0.96, 0.90 and 22.0, respectively, during the model testing phase. These findings offer valuable insights for enhancing relative humidity prediction models in diverse climatic conditions. The Bagging model?s robust performance underscores its potential application in water resource management. ? 2024 The Authors.
format Article
id my.uniten.dspace-36504
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
publishDate 2025
publisher IWA Publishing
record_format dspace
spelling my.uniten.dspace-365042025-03-03T15:42:46Z Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India Rajput J. Kushwaha N.L. Srivastava A. Pande C.B. Suna T. Sena D.R. Singh D.K. Mishra A.K. Sahoo P.K. Elbeltagi A. 57211190879 57219726089 57221943932 57193547008 57726828300 6603383474 57198856885 57214672235 57203256213 57204724397 Resource allocation Water management Evaporation temperature Index values Mean absolute error Mean temperature Model testing Pan evaporation Performance indices Prediction indices Testing phase Water resources management Prediction models Accurate prediction of pan evaporation and mean temperature is crucial for effective water resources management, influencing the hydrological cycle and impacting water availability. This study focused on New Delhi?s semi-arid climate, data spanning 31 years (1990?2020) were used to predict these variables using advanced algorithms such as Bagging, Random Subspace (RSS), M5P, and REPTree. The models were rigorously evaluated using 10 performance metrics, including correlation coefficient, mean absolute error (MAE), and Nash?Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) model coefficient. The Bagging model emerged as the best model with performance indices values as r, MAE, RMSE, RAE, RRSE, MBE NSE, d, KGE, and MAPE as 0.86, 0.76, 1.43, 32.70, 49.44, 0.03, 0.85, 0.96, 0.90, and 22.0, respectively, during model testing phase for pan evaporation prediction. In predicting mean temperature, the Bagging model reported the best results with performance indices values as r, MAE, RMSE, RAE, RRSE, MBE NSE, d, KGE, and MAPE as 0.86, 0.76, 1.43, 32.70, 49.44, 0.03, 0.85, 0.96, 0.90 and 22.0, respectively, during the model testing phase. These findings offer valuable insights for enhancing relative humidity prediction models in diverse climatic conditions. The Bagging model?s robust performance underscores its potential application in water resource management. ? 2024 The Authors. Final 2025-03-03T07:42:46Z 2025-03-03T07:42:46Z 2024 Article 10.2166/wpt.2024.144 2-s2.0-85201638540 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85201638540&doi=10.2166%2fwpt.2024.144&partnerID=40&md5=7599fe0437cfa4630e17763e96ec88da https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/36504 19 7 2655 2655 2672 All Open Access; Gold Open Access IWA Publishing Scopus
spellingShingle Resource allocation
Water management
Evaporation temperature
Index values
Mean absolute error
Mean temperature
Model testing
Pan evaporation
Performance indices
Prediction indices
Testing phase
Water resources management
Prediction models
Rajput J.
Kushwaha N.L.
Srivastava A.
Pande C.B.
Suna T.
Sena D.R.
Singh D.K.
Mishra A.K.
Sahoo P.K.
Elbeltagi A.
Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title_full Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title_fullStr Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title_full_unstemmed Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title_short Development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in New Delhi, India
title_sort development of machine learning models for estimation of daily evaporation and mean temperature: a case study in new delhi, india
topic Resource allocation
Water management
Evaporation temperature
Index values
Mean absolute error
Mean temperature
Model testing
Pan evaporation
Performance indices
Prediction indices
Testing phase
Water resources management
Prediction models
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/