Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation

The power supplied by wind turbine generators (WTG) is widely random following the stochastic nature of weather conditions. For planning and decision making purposes, understanding and evaluation of the behaviour and distribution of WTG's output power are crucial. Monte Carlo simulation enables...

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Main Authors: Razali N.M.M., Misbah M.
Other Authors: 36440450000
Format: Conference paper
Published: Institute of Physics Publishing 2023
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author Razali N.M.M.
Misbah M.
author2 36440450000
author_facet 36440450000
Razali N.M.M.
Misbah M.
author_sort Razali N.M.M.
building UNITEN Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Tenaga Nasional
content_source UNITEN Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description The power supplied by wind turbine generators (WTG) is widely random following the stochastic nature of weather conditions. For planning and decision making purposes, understanding and evaluation of the behaviour and distribution of WTG's output power are crucial. Monte Carlo simulation enables the realization of artificial futures by generating a huge number of sample paths of outcomes to perform this analysis. The paper presents an algorithm developed for a random wind speed generator governed by the probability density function of Weibull distribution and evaluates the WTG's output by using the power curve of wind turbines. The method may facilitate assessment of suitable turbine site as well as generator selection and sizing. � Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd.
format Conference paper
id my.uniten.dspace-30064
institution Universiti Tenaga Nasional
publishDate 2023
publisher Institute of Physics Publishing
record_format dspace
spelling my.uniten.dspace-300642023-12-29T15:44:16Z Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation Razali N.M.M. Misbah M. 36440450000 55812106800 Electric power generation Monte Carlo methods Probability density function Site selection Wind turbines Number of samples Output power Power curves Probabilistic evaluation Random winds Stochastic nature algorithm conference proceeding decision making Monte Carlo analysis power generation probability density function renewable resource Weibull theory wind power wind turbine wind velocity Weibull distribution The power supplied by wind turbine generators (WTG) is widely random following the stochastic nature of weather conditions. For planning and decision making purposes, understanding and evaluation of the behaviour and distribution of WTG's output power are crucial. Monte Carlo simulation enables the realization of artificial futures by generating a huge number of sample paths of outcomes to perform this analysis. The paper presents an algorithm developed for a random wind speed generator governed by the probability density function of Weibull distribution and evaluates the WTG's output by using the power curve of wind turbines. The method may facilitate assessment of suitable turbine site as well as generator selection and sizing. � Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd. Final 2023-12-29T07:44:16Z 2023-12-29T07:44:16Z 2013 Conference paper 10.1088/1755-1315/16/1/012028 2-s2.0-84881116392 https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84881116392&doi=10.1088%2f1755-1315%2f16%2f1%2f012028&partnerID=40&md5=7217fa25bc99ad2b8e0a239407e99854 https://irepository.uniten.edu.my/handle/123456789/30064 16 1 12028 All Open Access; Gold Open Access Institute of Physics Publishing Scopus
spellingShingle Electric power generation
Monte Carlo methods
Probability density function
Site selection
Wind turbines
Number of samples
Output power
Power curves
Probabilistic evaluation
Random winds
Stochastic nature
algorithm
conference proceeding
decision making
Monte Carlo analysis
power generation
probability density function
renewable resource
Weibull theory
wind power
wind turbine
wind velocity
Weibull distribution
Razali N.M.M.
Misbah M.
Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title_full Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title_fullStr Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title_full_unstemmed Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title_short Probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
title_sort probabilistic evaluation of wind power generation
topic Electric power generation
Monte Carlo methods
Probability density function
Site selection
Wind turbines
Number of samples
Output power
Power curves
Probabilistic evaluation
Random winds
Stochastic nature
algorithm
conference proceeding
decision making
Monte Carlo analysis
power generation
probability density function
renewable resource
Weibull theory
wind power
wind turbine
wind velocity
Weibull distribution
url_provider http://dspace.uniten.edu.my/