Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4

This study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate risk (volatility) on the real foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-4) using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results revealed the occurrence o...

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Main Authors: Jaratin Lily, Mori Kogid, Dullah Mulok, Rozilee Asid
Format: Article
Language:en
en
Published: 2020
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Online Access:https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/1/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/2/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment1.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/
https://doi.org/ 10.30585/jrems.v2i3.512
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author Jaratin Lily
Mori Kogid
Dullah Mulok
Rozilee Asid
author_facet Jaratin Lily
Mori Kogid
Dullah Mulok
Rozilee Asid
author_sort Jaratin Lily
building UMS Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Sabah
content_source UMS Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description This study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate risk (volatility) on the real foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-4) using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results revealed the occurrence of a long-run asymmetric cointegration between real FDI inflows and real exchange rate risk in the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, but not in Malaysia. For the Philippines and Singapore, there is evidence of long-run asymmetry whereas short-run asymmetry exists for the case of Thailand. These findings imply that the asymmetric effects prove to be useful in providing essential information to the related parties on how FDI inflows react to exchange rate risks differently. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN countries should be concerned about the asymmetric effect of the exchange rate volatility to mitigate the stylized effects of exchange rate movements on FDI inflows.
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spelling my.ums.eprints-263312021-04-05T02:57:56Z https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/ Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4 Jaratin Lily Mori Kogid Dullah Mulok Rozilee Asid HB Economic theory. Demography This study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate risk (volatility) on the real foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-4) using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results revealed the occurrence of a long-run asymmetric cointegration between real FDI inflows and real exchange rate risk in the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, but not in Malaysia. For the Philippines and Singapore, there is evidence of long-run asymmetry whereas short-run asymmetry exists for the case of Thailand. These findings imply that the asymmetric effects prove to be useful in providing essential information to the related parties on how FDI inflows react to exchange rate risks differently. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN countries should be concerned about the asymmetric effect of the exchange rate volatility to mitigate the stylized effects of exchange rate movements on FDI inflows. 2020 Article PeerReviewed text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/1/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment.pdf text en https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/2/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment1.pdf Jaratin Lily and Mori Kogid and Dullah Mulok and Rozilee Asid (2020) Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4. Journal of Research in Emerging Markets, 2 (3). pp. 91-105. ISSN 2663-905X https://doi.org/ 10.30585/jrems.v2i3.512
spellingShingle HB Economic theory. Demography
Jaratin Lily
Mori Kogid
Dullah Mulok
Rozilee Asid
Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title_full Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title_fullStr Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title_short Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4
title_sort asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: empirical evidence in asean-4
topic HB Economic theory. Demography
url https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/1/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/2/Asymmetric%20effect%20of%20real%20exchange%20rate%20risk%20on%20foreign%20direct%20investment1.pdf
https://eprints.ums.edu.my/id/eprint/26331/
https://doi.org/ 10.30585/jrems.v2i3.512
url_provider http://eprints.ums.edu.my/