Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique

Prediction of stock price is one of the most challenging tasks due to nonlinear nature of the stock data. Though numerous attempts have been made to predict the stock price by applying various techniques, yet the predicted price is not always accurate and even the error rate is high to some extent....

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Main Authors: Das, Debashish, Sadiq, Ali Safa, Mirjalili, Seyedali
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:en
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/1/ICCSCM%20Paper-Stock%20Prediction-GWO-April2017.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/
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author Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Mirjalili, Seyedali
author_facet Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Mirjalili, Seyedali
author_sort Das, Debashish
building UMPSA Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Malaysia Pahang Al-Sultan Abdullah
content_source UMPSA Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description Prediction of stock price is one of the most challenging tasks due to nonlinear nature of the stock data. Though numerous attempts have been made to predict the stock price by applying various techniques, yet the predicted price is not always accurate and even the error rate is high to some extent. Consequently, this paper endeavours to determine an efficient stock prediction strategy by implementing a combinatorial method of Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Clustering and Non Linear Autoregressive Exogenous (NARX) Technique. The study uses stock data from prominent stock market i.e. New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and emerging stock market i.e. Malaysian Stock Market (Bursa Malaysia), Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). It applies K-means clustering algorithm to determine the most promising cluster, then MGWO is used to determine the classification rate and finally the stock price is predicted by applying NARX neural network algorithm. The prediction performance gained through experimentation is compared and assessed to guide the investors in making investment decision. The result through this technique is indeed promising as it has shown almost precise prediction and improved error rate.
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spelling my.ump.umpir.209372018-03-30T08:17:16Z http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/ Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique Das, Debashish Sadiq, Ali Safa Mirjalili, Seyedali QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science Prediction of stock price is one of the most challenging tasks due to nonlinear nature of the stock data. Though numerous attempts have been made to predict the stock price by applying various techniques, yet the predicted price is not always accurate and even the error rate is high to some extent. Consequently, this paper endeavours to determine an efficient stock prediction strategy by implementing a combinatorial method of Grey Wolf Optimizer (GWO), Clustering and Non Linear Autoregressive Exogenous (NARX) Technique. The study uses stock data from prominent stock market i.e. New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ and emerging stock market i.e. Malaysian Stock Market (Bursa Malaysia), Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE). It applies K-means clustering algorithm to determine the most promising cluster, then MGWO is used to determine the classification rate and finally the stock price is predicted by applying NARX neural network algorithm. The prediction performance gained through experimentation is compared and assessed to guide the investors in making investment decision. The result through this technique is indeed promising as it has shown almost precise prediction and improved error rate. 2017 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/1/ICCSCM%20Paper-Stock%20Prediction-GWO-April2017.pdf Das, Debashish and Sadiq, Ali Safa and Mirjalili, Seyedali (2017) Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique. In: The 6th International Conference on Computer Science and Computational Mathematics (ICCSCM 2017) , 4-5 May 2017 , Langkawi, Malaysia. pp. 1-8.. (Published)
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Das, Debashish
Sadiq, Ali Safa
Mirjalili, Seyedali
Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title_full Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title_fullStr Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title_full_unstemmed Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title_short Stock prediction by applying hybrid Clustering-GWO-NARX neural network technique
title_sort stock prediction by applying hybrid clustering-gwo-narx neural network technique
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
url http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/1/ICCSCM%20Paper-Stock%20Prediction-GWO-April2017.pdf
http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/20937/
url_provider http://umpir.ump.edu.my/