Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia

Mitigating and adapting to the impacts of climate change at regional level require downscaled projection of future climate states. This paper examined the possible changes of future climate extremes over Malaysia based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. The projected changes at 17 stations were...

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Main Authors: Meng, Sei Kwan, Fredolin T. Tangang, Liew, Juneng
Format: Article
Language:en
Published: Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2013
Online Access:http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/1/03._Meng_Sei_Kwan.pdf
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/
http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
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author Meng, Sei Kwan
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
author_facet Meng, Sei Kwan
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
author_sort Meng, Sei Kwan
building Tun Sri Lanang Library
collection Institutional Repository
content_provider Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
content_source UKM Journal Article Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
description Mitigating and adapting to the impacts of climate change at regional level require downscaled projection of future climate states. This paper examined the possible changes of future climate extremes over Malaysia based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. The projected changes at 17 stations were produced by bias correcting the UKMO PRECIS downscaling simulation output. The simulation expected higher probability of rainfall extreme occurrences over the west coast of Peninsular Malaysia during the autumn transitional monsoon period. In addition, possible early monsoon rainfall was projected for certain stations located over East Malaysia. The simulation also projected larger increase of warm temperature extremes but smaller decrease of cold extremes, suggesting asymmetric expansion of the temperature distribution. The impact of the elevated green house gases (GHG) is higher in the night time temperature extremes as compared to the day time temperature extremes. The larger increment of warm night frequencies as compared to the warm day suggests smaller diurnal temperature ranges under the influence of higher greenhouse gases. Stations located in East Malaysia were projected to experience the largest increase of warm night occurrence.
format Article
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institution Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
language en
publishDate 2013
publisher Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
record_format eprints
spelling my-ukm.journal-64422016-12-14T06:41:11Z http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/ Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia Meng, Sei Kwan Fredolin T. Tangang, Liew, Juneng Mitigating and adapting to the impacts of climate change at regional level require downscaled projection of future climate states. This paper examined the possible changes of future climate extremes over Malaysia based on the IPCC SRES A1B emission scenario. The projected changes at 17 stations were produced by bias correcting the UKMO PRECIS downscaling simulation output. The simulation expected higher probability of rainfall extreme occurrences over the west coast of Peninsular Malaysia during the autumn transitional monsoon period. In addition, possible early monsoon rainfall was projected for certain stations located over East Malaysia. The simulation also projected larger increase of warm temperature extremes but smaller decrease of cold extremes, suggesting asymmetric expansion of the temperature distribution. The impact of the elevated green house gases (GHG) is higher in the night time temperature extremes as compared to the day time temperature extremes. The larger increment of warm night frequencies as compared to the warm day suggests smaller diurnal temperature ranges under the influence of higher greenhouse gases. Stations located in East Malaysia were projected to experience the largest increase of warm night occurrence. Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2013-08 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/1/03._Meng_Sei_Kwan.pdf Meng, Sei Kwan and Fredolin T. Tangang, and Liew, Juneng (2013) Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia. Sains Malaysiana, 42 (8). pp. 1051-1058. ISSN 0126-6039 http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
spellingShingle Meng, Sei Kwan
Fredolin T. Tangang,
Liew, Juneng
Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title_full Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title_fullStr Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title_short Projected changes of future climate extremes in Malaysia
title_sort projected changes of future climate extremes in malaysia
url http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/1/03._Meng_Sei_Kwan.pdf
http://journalarticle.ukm.my/6442/
http://www.ukm.my/jsm/
url_provider http://journalarticle.ukm.my/