Modeling Electricity Consumption using Modified Newton's Method

In this paper we present modified Newton’s model (MNM) to model electricity consumption data. A previous method to model electricity consumption data was done using forecasting technique (FT) and artificial neural networks (ANN). A drawback to previous techniques is that computations give less relia...

وصف كامل

محفوظ في:
التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلفون الرئيسيون: P., Ozoh, S., Abd-Rahman, Jane, Labadin, M., Apperley
التنسيق: E-Article
اللغة:English
منشور في: International Journal of Computer Applications 2013
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/8467/1/Modeling%20Electricity%20Consumption%20using%20Modified%20Newton%E2%80%99s%20Method%20%28abstract%29.pdf
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/8467/
http://dx.doi.org/10.5120/15046-3414
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الوصف
الملخص:In this paper we present modified Newton’s model (MNM) to model electricity consumption data. A previous method to model electricity consumption data was done using forecasting technique (FT) and artificial neural networks (ANN). A drawback to previous techniques is that computations give less reliable results when compared to MNM. A comparative analysis is carried out for FT, ANN and MNM to investigate which of these methods is the most reliable technique. The results indicate that MNM model reduced mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) to 0.93%, while those of FT and ANN were 3.01% and 3.11%, respectively. Based on these error measures, the study shows that the three methods are highly accurate modeling techniques, but MNM was found to be the best technique when mining information. Experimental results indicate that MNM is the most accurate when compared to FT and ANN and thus has the best competitive performance level.