Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir

The spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has become one of the major concerns in some parts of the world. This virus also has the possibility to develop into acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) which is the advance stage of HIV. To understand the spread and behavior of this disease, m...

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Main Authors: Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika, Mohamad Zahir, Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen
Format: Student Project
Language:English
Published: 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/1/109969.pdf
https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/
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spelling my.uitm.ir.1099692025-02-11T08:44:11Z https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/ Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika Mohamad Zahir, Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Equations Analysis QR Microbiology The spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has become one of the major concerns in some parts of the world. This virus also has the possibility to develop into acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) which is the advance stage of HIV. To understand the spread and behavior of this disease, mathematical models are commonly developed and applied for better understanding; In this current case study, by using the list of parameters used, basic equations are developed and derived to estimate number of individuals infected with HIV who develop into AIDS and number of individuals who do not advance into the AIDS stage. The results of the estimated number of individuals for both groups are compared with the annual data set in Malaysia to ensure the estimated values compliments the real data. Also by using the derived formula, the value of critical threshold parameter Ro is calculated and analyzed to assess the stability of the disease in Malaysia. If Ro <l, the disease dies out; and if Ro >1, the disease free-equilibrium is unstable. As the value of Ro calculated is unconditionally greater than unity 1, it shows a major concern on Malaysian's public health because the aim was to stabilize the epidemic spreading at disease-free equilibrium point. It can be concluded that HIV disease in Malaysia shows epidemic behavior, especially in understanding and forecasting emerging cases of HIV and AIDS. 2017 Student Project NonPeerReviewed text en https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/1/109969.pdf Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir. (2017) [Student Project] <http://terminalib.uitm.edu.my/109969.pdf> (Unpublished)
institution Universiti Teknologi Mara
building Tun Abdul Razak Library
collection Institutional Repository
continent Asia
country Malaysia
content_provider Universiti Teknologi Mara
content_source UiTM Institutional Repository
url_provider http://ir.uitm.edu.my/
language English
topic Equations
Analysis
QR Microbiology
spellingShingle Equations
Analysis
QR Microbiology
Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika
Mohamad Zahir, Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen
Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
description The spread of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has become one of the major concerns in some parts of the world. This virus also has the possibility to develop into acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS) which is the advance stage of HIV. To understand the spread and behavior of this disease, mathematical models are commonly developed and applied for better understanding; In this current case study, by using the list of parameters used, basic equations are developed and derived to estimate number of individuals infected with HIV who develop into AIDS and number of individuals who do not advance into the AIDS stage. The results of the estimated number of individuals for both groups are compared with the annual data set in Malaysia to ensure the estimated values compliments the real data. Also by using the derived formula, the value of critical threshold parameter Ro is calculated and analyzed to assess the stability of the disease in Malaysia. If Ro <l, the disease dies out; and if Ro >1, the disease free-equilibrium is unstable. As the value of Ro calculated is unconditionally greater than unity 1, it shows a major concern on Malaysian's public health because the aim was to stabilize the epidemic spreading at disease-free equilibrium point. It can be concluded that HIV disease in Malaysia shows epidemic behavior, especially in understanding and forecasting emerging cases of HIV and AIDS.
format Student Project
author Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika
Mohamad Zahir, Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen
author_facet Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika
Mohamad Zahir, Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen
author_sort Ismadi, Aina Sorfina Yurika
title Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
title_short Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
title_full Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
title_fullStr Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
title_full_unstemmed Technical report: mathematical modeling for HIV and AIDS spread in Malaysia / Aina Sorfina Yurika Ismadi and Puteri Nurfatin Shazreen Mohamad Zahir
title_sort technical report: mathematical modeling for hiv and aids spread in malaysia / aina sorfina yurika ismadi and puteri nurfatin shazreen mohamad zahir
publishDate 2017
url https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/1/109969.pdf
https://ir.uitm.edu.my/id/eprint/109969/
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score 13.239859